Calibration of Vehicular Traffic Simulation Models by Local Optimization

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Guastella, Davide Andrea, Morales-Hernàndez, Alejandro, Cornelis, Bruno, Bontempi, Gianluca
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Guastella, Davide Andrea
Morales-Hernàndez, Alejandro
Cornelis, Bruno
Bontempi, Gianluca
author_facet Guastella, Davide Andrea
Morales-Hernàndez, Alejandro
Cornelis, Bruno
Bontempi, Gianluca
contents Simulation is a valuable tool for traffic management experts to assist them in refining and improving transportation systems and anticipating the impact of possible changes in the infrastructure network before their actual implementation. Calibrating simulation models using traffic count data is challenging because of the complexity of the environment, the lack of data, and the uncertainties in traffic dynamics. This paper introduces a novel stochastic simulation-based traffic calibration technique. The novelty of the proposed method is: (i) it performs local traffic calibration, (ii) it allows calibrating simulated traffic in large-scale environments, (iii) it requires only the traffic count data. The local approach enables decentralizing the calibration task to reach near real-time performance, enabling the fostering of digital twins. Using only traffic count data makes the proposed method generic so that it can be applied in different traffic scenarios at various scales (from neighborhood to region). We assess the proposed technique on a model of Brussels, Belgium, using data from real traffic monitoring devices. The proposed method has been implemented using the open-source traffic simulator SUMO. Experimental results show that the traffic model calibrated using the proposed method is on average 16% more accurate than those obtained by the state-of-the-art methods, using the same dataset. We also make available the output traffic model obtained from real data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_11585
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Calibration of Vehicular Traffic Simulation Models by Local Optimization
Guastella, Davide Andrea
Morales-Hernàndez, Alejandro
Cornelis, Bruno
Bontempi, Gianluca
Artificial Intelligence
Simulation is a valuable tool for traffic management experts to assist them in refining and improving transportation systems and anticipating the impact of possible changes in the infrastructure network before their actual implementation. Calibrating simulation models using traffic count data is challenging because of the complexity of the environment, the lack of data, and the uncertainties in traffic dynamics. This paper introduces a novel stochastic simulation-based traffic calibration technique. The novelty of the proposed method is: (i) it performs local traffic calibration, (ii) it allows calibrating simulated traffic in large-scale environments, (iii) it requires only the traffic count data. The local approach enables decentralizing the calibration task to reach near real-time performance, enabling the fostering of digital twins. Using only traffic count data makes the proposed method generic so that it can be applied in different traffic scenarios at various scales (from neighborhood to region). We assess the proposed technique on a model of Brussels, Belgium, using data from real traffic monitoring devices. The proposed method has been implemented using the open-source traffic simulator SUMO. Experimental results show that the traffic model calibrated using the proposed method is on average 16% more accurate than those obtained by the state-of-the-art methods, using the same dataset. We also make available the output traffic model obtained from real data.
title Calibration of Vehicular Traffic Simulation Models by Local Optimization
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.11585