Hypothesis-Driven Theory-of-Mind Reasoning for Large Language Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Kim, Hyunwoo, Sclar, Melanie, Zhi-Xuan, Tan, Ying, Lance, Levine, Sydney, Liu, Yang, Tenenbaum, Joshua B., Choi, Yejin
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Kim, Hyunwoo
Sclar, Melanie
Zhi-Xuan, Tan
Ying, Lance
Levine, Sydney
Liu, Yang
Tenenbaum, Joshua B.
Choi, Yejin
author_facet Kim, Hyunwoo
Sclar, Melanie
Zhi-Xuan, Tan
Ying, Lance
Levine, Sydney
Liu, Yang
Tenenbaum, Joshua B.
Choi, Yejin
contents Existing LLM reasoning methods have shown impressive capabilities across various tasks, such as solving math and coding problems. However, applying these methods to scenarios without ground-truth answers or rule-based verification methods - such as tracking the mental states of an agent - remains challenging. Inspired by the sequential Monte Carlo algorithm, we introduce thought-tracing, an inference-time reasoning algorithm designed to trace the mental states of specific agents by generating hypotheses and weighting them based on observations without relying on ground-truth solutions to questions in datasets. Our algorithm is modeled after the Bayesian theory-of-mind framework, using LLMs to approximate probabilistic inference over agents' evolving mental states based on their perceptions and actions. We evaluate thought-tracing on diverse theory-of-mind benchmarks, demonstrating significant performance improvements compared to baseline LLMs. Our experiments also reveal interesting behaviors of the recent reasoning models - e.g., o3 and R1 - on theory-of-mind, highlighting the difference of social reasoning compared to other domains.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_11881
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Hypothesis-Driven Theory-of-Mind Reasoning for Large Language Models
Kim, Hyunwoo
Sclar, Melanie
Zhi-Xuan, Tan
Ying, Lance
Levine, Sydney
Liu, Yang
Tenenbaum, Joshua B.
Choi, Yejin
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Existing LLM reasoning methods have shown impressive capabilities across various tasks, such as solving math and coding problems. However, applying these methods to scenarios without ground-truth answers or rule-based verification methods - such as tracking the mental states of an agent - remains challenging. Inspired by the sequential Monte Carlo algorithm, we introduce thought-tracing, an inference-time reasoning algorithm designed to trace the mental states of specific agents by generating hypotheses and weighting them based on observations without relying on ground-truth solutions to questions in datasets. Our algorithm is modeled after the Bayesian theory-of-mind framework, using LLMs to approximate probabilistic inference over agents' evolving mental states based on their perceptions and actions. We evaluate thought-tracing on diverse theory-of-mind benchmarks, demonstrating significant performance improvements compared to baseline LLMs. Our experiments also reveal interesting behaviors of the recent reasoning models - e.g., o3 and R1 - on theory-of-mind, highlighting the difference of social reasoning compared to other domains.
title Hypothesis-Driven Theory-of-Mind Reasoning for Large Language Models
topic Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.11881