Spatiotemporal-aware Trend-Seasonality Decomposition Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Cao, Lingxiao, Wang, Bin, Jiang, Guiyuan, Yu, Yanwei, Dong, Junyu
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Cao, Lingxiao
Wang, Bin
Jiang, Guiyuan
Yu, Yanwei
Dong, Junyu
author_facet Cao, Lingxiao
Wang, Bin
Jiang, Guiyuan
Yu, Yanwei
Dong, Junyu
contents Traffic prediction is critical for optimizing travel scheduling and enhancing public safety, yet the complex spatial and temporal dynamics within traffic data present significant challenges for accurate forecasting. In this paper, we introduce a novel model, the Spatiotemporal-aware Trend-Seasonality Decomposition Network (STDN). This model begins by constructing a dynamic graph structure to represent traffic flow and incorporates novel spatio-temporal embeddings to jointly capture global traffic dynamics. The representations learned are further refined by a specially designed trend-seasonality decomposition module, which disentangles the trend-cyclical component and seasonal component for each traffic node at different times within the graph. These components are subsequently processed through an encoder-decoder network to generate the final predictions. Extensive experiments conducted on real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that STDN achieves superior performance with remarkable computation cost. Furthermore, we have released a new traffic dataset named JiNan, which features unique inner-city dynamics, thereby enriching the scenario comprehensiveness in traffic prediction evaluation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_12213
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Spatiotemporal-aware Trend-Seasonality Decomposition Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting
Cao, Lingxiao
Wang, Bin
Jiang, Guiyuan
Yu, Yanwei
Dong, Junyu
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Traffic prediction is critical for optimizing travel scheduling and enhancing public safety, yet the complex spatial and temporal dynamics within traffic data present significant challenges for accurate forecasting. In this paper, we introduce a novel model, the Spatiotemporal-aware Trend-Seasonality Decomposition Network (STDN). This model begins by constructing a dynamic graph structure to represent traffic flow and incorporates novel spatio-temporal embeddings to jointly capture global traffic dynamics. The representations learned are further refined by a specially designed trend-seasonality decomposition module, which disentangles the trend-cyclical component and seasonal component for each traffic node at different times within the graph. These components are subsequently processed through an encoder-decoder network to generate the final predictions. Extensive experiments conducted on real-world traffic datasets demonstrate that STDN achieves superior performance with remarkable computation cost. Furthermore, we have released a new traffic dataset named JiNan, which features unique inner-city dynamics, thereby enriching the scenario comprehensiveness in traffic prediction evaluation.
title Spatiotemporal-aware Trend-Seasonality Decomposition Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.12213