Sample Efficient Omniprediction and Downstream Swap Regret for Non-Linear Losses

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Hauptverfasser: Lu, Jiuyao, Roth, Aaron, Shi, Mirah
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Lu, Jiuyao
Roth, Aaron
Shi, Mirah
author_facet Lu, Jiuyao
Roth, Aaron
Shi, Mirah
contents We define "decision swap regret" which generalizes both prediction for downstream swap regret and omniprediction, and give algorithms for obtaining it for arbitrary multi-dimensional Lipschitz loss functions in online adversarial settings. We also give sample complexity bounds in the batch setting via an online-to-batch reduction. When applied to omniprediction, our algorithm gives the first polynomial sample-complexity bounds for Lipschitz loss functions -- prior bounds either applied only to linear loss (or binary outcomes) or scaled exponentially with the error parameter even under the assumption that the loss functions were convex. When applied to prediction for downstream regret, we give the first algorithm capable of guaranteeing swap regret bounds for all downstream agents with non-linear loss functions over a multi-dimensional outcome space: prior work applied only to linear loss functions, modeling risk neutral agents. Our general bounds scale exponentially with the dimension of the outcome space, but we give improved regret and sample complexity bounds for specific families of multidimensional functions of economic interest: constant elasticity of substitution (CES), Cobb-Douglas, and Leontief utility functions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_12564
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sample Efficient Omniprediction and Downstream Swap Regret for Non-Linear Losses
Lu, Jiuyao
Roth, Aaron
Shi, Mirah
Machine Learning
Computer Science and Game Theory
We define "decision swap regret" which generalizes both prediction for downstream swap regret and omniprediction, and give algorithms for obtaining it for arbitrary multi-dimensional Lipschitz loss functions in online adversarial settings. We also give sample complexity bounds in the batch setting via an online-to-batch reduction. When applied to omniprediction, our algorithm gives the first polynomial sample-complexity bounds for Lipschitz loss functions -- prior bounds either applied only to linear loss (or binary outcomes) or scaled exponentially with the error parameter even under the assumption that the loss functions were convex. When applied to prediction for downstream regret, we give the first algorithm capable of guaranteeing swap regret bounds for all downstream agents with non-linear loss functions over a multi-dimensional outcome space: prior work applied only to linear loss functions, modeling risk neutral agents. Our general bounds scale exponentially with the dimension of the outcome space, but we give improved regret and sample complexity bounds for specific families of multidimensional functions of economic interest: constant elasticity of substitution (CES), Cobb-Douglas, and Leontief utility functions.
title Sample Efficient Omniprediction and Downstream Swap Regret for Non-Linear Losses
topic Machine Learning
Computer Science and Game Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.12564