Clustered Network Connectedness: A New Measurement Framework with Application to Global Equity Markets

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Main Authors: Buchwalter, Bastien, Diebold, Francis X., Yilmaz, Kamil
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Buchwalter, Bastien
Diebold, Francis X.
Yilmaz, Kamil
author_facet Buchwalter, Bastien
Diebold, Francis X.
Yilmaz, Kamil
contents Network connections, both across and within markets, are central in countless economic contexts. In recent decades, a large literature has developed and applied flexible methods for measuring network connectedness and its evolution, based on variance decompositions from vector autoregressions (VARs), as in Diebold and Yilmaz (2014). Those VARs are, however, typically identified using full orthogonalization (Sims, 1980), or no orthogonalization (Koop, Pesaran and Potter, 1996; Pesaran and Shin, 1998), which, although useful, are special and extreme cases of a more general framework that we develop in this paper. In particular, we allow network nodes to be connected in ``clusters", such as asset classes, industries, regions, etc., where shocks are orthogonal across clusters (Sims style orthogonalized identification) but correlated within clusters (Koop-Pesaran-Potter-Shin style generalized identification), so that the ordering of network nodes is relevant across clusters but irrelevant within clusters. After developing the clustered connectedness framework, we apply it in a detailed empirical exploration of sixteen country equity markets spanning three global regions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_15458
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Clustered Network Connectedness: A New Measurement Framework with Application to Global Equity Markets
Buchwalter, Bastien
Diebold, Francis X.
Yilmaz, Kamil
Econometrics
Statistical Finance
Applications
Network connections, both across and within markets, are central in countless economic contexts. In recent decades, a large literature has developed and applied flexible methods for measuring network connectedness and its evolution, based on variance decompositions from vector autoregressions (VARs), as in Diebold and Yilmaz (2014). Those VARs are, however, typically identified using full orthogonalization (Sims, 1980), or no orthogonalization (Koop, Pesaran and Potter, 1996; Pesaran and Shin, 1998), which, although useful, are special and extreme cases of a more general framework that we develop in this paper. In particular, we allow network nodes to be connected in ``clusters", such as asset classes, industries, regions, etc., where shocks are orthogonal across clusters (Sims style orthogonalized identification) but correlated within clusters (Koop-Pesaran-Potter-Shin style generalized identification), so that the ordering of network nodes is relevant across clusters but irrelevant within clusters. After developing the clustered connectedness framework, we apply it in a detailed empirical exploration of sixteen country equity markets spanning three global regions.
title Clustered Network Connectedness: A New Measurement Framework with Application to Global Equity Markets
topic Econometrics
Statistical Finance
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.15458