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Auteurs principaux: Patel, Mridul, Verma, Geetika, Eberhard, Andrew, Rao, Asha, Kumar, Pankaj
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.15787
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author Patel, Mridul
Verma, Geetika
Eberhard, Andrew
Rao, Asha
Kumar, Pankaj
author_facet Patel, Mridul
Verma, Geetika
Eberhard, Andrew
Rao, Asha
Kumar, Pankaj
contents The stock market closely monitors macroeconomic policy announcements, such as annual budget events, due to their substantial influence on various economic participants. These events tend to impact the stock markets initially before affecting the real sector. Our study aims to analyze the effects of the budget on the Indian stock market, specifically focusing on the announcement for the year 2024. We will compare this with the years 2023, 2022, and 2020, assessing its impact on the NIFTY50 index using average abnormal return (AAR) and cumulative average abnormal return (CAAR) over a period of -15 and +15 days, including the budget day. This study utilizes an innovative approach involving the fractal interpolation function, paired with fractal dimensional analysis, to study the fluctuations arising from budget announcements. The fractal perspective on the data offers an effective framework for understanding complex variations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_15787
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Analysis of the Impact of the Union Budget Announcements on the Indian Stock Market: A Fractal Perspective
Patel, Mridul
Verma, Geetika
Eberhard, Andrew
Rao, Asha
Kumar, Pankaj
Statistical Finance
The stock market closely monitors macroeconomic policy announcements, such as annual budget events, due to their substantial influence on various economic participants. These events tend to impact the stock markets initially before affecting the real sector. Our study aims to analyze the effects of the budget on the Indian stock market, specifically focusing on the announcement for the year 2024. We will compare this with the years 2023, 2022, and 2020, assessing its impact on the NIFTY50 index using average abnormal return (AAR) and cumulative average abnormal return (CAAR) over a period of -15 and +15 days, including the budget day. This study utilizes an innovative approach involving the fractal interpolation function, paired with fractal dimensional analysis, to study the fluctuations arising from budget announcements. The fractal perspective on the data offers an effective framework for understanding complex variations.
title Analysis of the Impact of the Union Budget Announcements on the Indian Stock Market: A Fractal Perspective
topic Statistical Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.15787