Understanding Fixed Predictions via Confined Regions

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Lawless, Connor, Weng, Tsui-Wei, Ustun, Berk, Udell, Madeleine
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Lawless, Connor
Weng, Tsui-Wei
Ustun, Berk
Udell, Madeleine
author_facet Lawless, Connor
Weng, Tsui-Wei
Ustun, Berk
Udell, Madeleine
contents Machine learning models can assign fixed predictions that preclude individuals from changing their outcome. Existing approaches to audit fixed predictions do so on a pointwise basis, which requires access to an existing dataset of individuals and may fail to anticipate fixed predictions in out-of-sample data. This work presents a new paradigm to identify fixed predictions by finding confined regions of the feature space in which all individuals receive fixed predictions. This paradigm enables the certification of recourse for out-of-sample data, works in settings without representative datasets, and provides interpretable descriptions of individuals with fixed predictions. We develop a fast method to discover confined regions for linear classifiers using mixed-integer quadratically constrained programming. We conduct a comprehensive empirical study of confined regions across diverse applications. Our results highlight that existing pointwise verification methods fail to anticipate future individuals with fixed predictions, while our method both identifies them and provides an interpretable description.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_16380
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Understanding Fixed Predictions via Confined Regions
Lawless, Connor
Weng, Tsui-Wei
Ustun, Berk
Udell, Madeleine
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Optimization and Control
Machine learning models can assign fixed predictions that preclude individuals from changing their outcome. Existing approaches to audit fixed predictions do so on a pointwise basis, which requires access to an existing dataset of individuals and may fail to anticipate fixed predictions in out-of-sample data. This work presents a new paradigm to identify fixed predictions by finding confined regions of the feature space in which all individuals receive fixed predictions. This paradigm enables the certification of recourse for out-of-sample data, works in settings without representative datasets, and provides interpretable descriptions of individuals with fixed predictions. We develop a fast method to discover confined regions for linear classifiers using mixed-integer quadratically constrained programming. We conduct a comprehensive empirical study of confined regions across diverse applications. Our results highlight that existing pointwise verification methods fail to anticipate future individuals with fixed predictions, while our method both identifies them and provides an interpretable description.
title Understanding Fixed Predictions via Confined Regions
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Optimization and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.16380