Optimal Kernel Learning for Gaussian Process Models with High-Dimensional Input

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Kang, Lulu, Xu, Minshen
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Kang, Lulu
Xu, Minshen
author_facet Kang, Lulu
Xu, Minshen
contents Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular surrogate modeling tool for computer simulations in engineering and scientific domains. However, it often struggles with high computational costs and low prediction accuracy when the simulation involves too many input variables. For some simulation models, the outputs may only be significantly influenced by a small subset of the input variables, referred to as the ``active variables''. We propose an optimal kernel learning approach to identify these active variables, thereby overcoming GP model limitations and enhancing system understanding. Our method approximates the original GP model's covariance function through a convex combination of kernel functions, each utilizing low-dimensional subsets of input variables. Inspired by the Fedorov-Wynn algorithm from optimal design literature, we develop an optimal kernel learning algorithm to determine this approximation. We incorporate the effect heredity principle, a concept borrowed from the field of ``design and analysis of experiments'', to ensure sparsity in active variable selection. Through several examples, we demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms alternative approaches in correctly identifying active input variables and improving prediction accuracy. It is an effective solution for interpreting the surrogate GP regression and simplifying the complex underlying system.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_16617
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Optimal Kernel Learning for Gaussian Process Models with High-Dimensional Input
Kang, Lulu
Xu, Minshen
Machine Learning
Methodology
G.3
Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular surrogate modeling tool for computer simulations in engineering and scientific domains. However, it often struggles with high computational costs and low prediction accuracy when the simulation involves too many input variables. For some simulation models, the outputs may only be significantly influenced by a small subset of the input variables, referred to as the ``active variables''. We propose an optimal kernel learning approach to identify these active variables, thereby overcoming GP model limitations and enhancing system understanding. Our method approximates the original GP model's covariance function through a convex combination of kernel functions, each utilizing low-dimensional subsets of input variables. Inspired by the Fedorov-Wynn algorithm from optimal design literature, we develop an optimal kernel learning algorithm to determine this approximation. We incorporate the effect heredity principle, a concept borrowed from the field of ``design and analysis of experiments'', to ensure sparsity in active variable selection. Through several examples, we demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms alternative approaches in correctly identifying active input variables and improving prediction accuracy. It is an effective solution for interpreting the surrogate GP regression and simplifying the complex underlying system.
title Optimal Kernel Learning for Gaussian Process Models with High-Dimensional Input
topic Machine Learning
Methodology
G.3
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.16617