ReFocus: Reinforcing Mid-Frequency and Key-Frequency Modeling for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Yu, Guoqi, Li, Yaoming, Wang, Juncheng, Guo, Xiaoyu, Aviles-Rivero, Angelica I., Yang, Tong, Wang, Shujun
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Yu, Guoqi
Li, Yaoming
Wang, Juncheng
Guo, Xiaoyu
Aviles-Rivero, Angelica I.
Yang, Tong
Wang, Shujun
author_facet Yu, Guoqi
Li, Yaoming
Wang, Juncheng
Guo, Xiaoyu
Aviles-Rivero, Angelica I.
Yang, Tong
Wang, Shujun
contents Recent advancements have progressively incorporated frequency-based techniques into deep learning models, leading to notable improvements in accuracy and efficiency for time series analysis tasks. However, the Mid-Frequency Spectrum Gap in the real-world time series, where the energy is concentrated at the low-frequency region while the middle-frequency band is negligible, hinders the ability of existing deep learning models to extract the crucial frequency information. Additionally, the shared Key-Frequency in multivariate time series, where different time series share indistinguishable frequency patterns, is rarely exploited by existing literature. This work introduces a novel module, Adaptive Mid-Frequency Energy Optimizer, based on convolution and residual learning, to emphasize the significance of mid-frequency bands. We also propose an Energy-based Key-Frequency Picking Block to capture shared Key-Frequency, which achieves superior inter-series modeling performance with fewer parameters. A novel Key-Frequency Enhanced Training strategy is employed to further enhance Key-Frequency modeling, where spectral information from other channels is randomly introduced into each channel. Our approach advanced multivariate time series forecasting on the challenging Traffic, ECL, and Solar benchmarks, reducing MSE by 4%, 6%, and 5% compared to the previous SOTA iTransformer. Code is available at this GitHub Repository: https://github.com/Levi-Ackman/ReFocus.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_16890
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle ReFocus: Reinforcing Mid-Frequency and Key-Frequency Modeling for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Yu, Guoqi
Li, Yaoming
Wang, Juncheng
Guo, Xiaoyu
Aviles-Rivero, Angelica I.
Yang, Tong
Wang, Shujun
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Recent advancements have progressively incorporated frequency-based techniques into deep learning models, leading to notable improvements in accuracy and efficiency for time series analysis tasks. However, the Mid-Frequency Spectrum Gap in the real-world time series, where the energy is concentrated at the low-frequency region while the middle-frequency band is negligible, hinders the ability of existing deep learning models to extract the crucial frequency information. Additionally, the shared Key-Frequency in multivariate time series, where different time series share indistinguishable frequency patterns, is rarely exploited by existing literature. This work introduces a novel module, Adaptive Mid-Frequency Energy Optimizer, based on convolution and residual learning, to emphasize the significance of mid-frequency bands. We also propose an Energy-based Key-Frequency Picking Block to capture shared Key-Frequency, which achieves superior inter-series modeling performance with fewer parameters. A novel Key-Frequency Enhanced Training strategy is employed to further enhance Key-Frequency modeling, where spectral information from other channels is randomly introduced into each channel. Our approach advanced multivariate time series forecasting on the challenging Traffic, ECL, and Solar benchmarks, reducing MSE by 4%, 6%, and 5% compared to the previous SOTA iTransformer. Code is available at this GitHub Repository: https://github.com/Levi-Ackman/ReFocus.
title ReFocus: Reinforcing Mid-Frequency and Key-Frequency Modeling for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.16890