Quasi-likelihood ratio test for jump-diffusion processes based on adaptive maximum likelihood inference
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arXiv
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| Auteurs principaux: | , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Publié: |
2025
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| _version_ | 1866929728993099776 |
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| author | Nishikawa, Hiromasa Kawai, Tetsuya Uchida, Masayuki |
| author_facet | Nishikawa, Hiromasa Kawai, Tetsuya Uchida, Masayuki |
| contents | In this paper, we consider parameter estimation and quasi-likelihood ratio tests for multidimensional jump-diffusion processes defined by stochastic differential equations. In general, simultaneous estimation faces challenges such as an increase of computational time for optimization and instability of estimation accuracy as the dimensionality of parameters grows. To address these issues, we propose an adaptive quasi-log likelihood function based on the joint quasi-log likelihood function introduced by Shimizu and Yoshida (2003, 2006) and Ogihara and Yoshida (2011). We then show that the resulting adaptive estimators possess consistency and asymptotic normality. Furthermore, we extend the joint quasi-log likelihood function proposed by Shimizu and Yoshida (2003, 2006) and Ogihara and Yoshida (2011) and construct a test statistic using the proposed adaptive estimators. We prove that the proposed test statistic converges in distribution to a $χ^2$-distribution under the null hypothesis and that the associated test is consistent. Finally, we conduct numerical simulations using a specific jump-diffusion process model to examine the asymptotic behavior of the proposed adaptive estimators and test statistics. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_17058 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Quasi-likelihood ratio test for jump-diffusion processes based on adaptive maximum likelihood inference Nishikawa, Hiromasa Kawai, Tetsuya Uchida, Masayuki Statistics Theory In this paper, we consider parameter estimation and quasi-likelihood ratio tests for multidimensional jump-diffusion processes defined by stochastic differential equations. In general, simultaneous estimation faces challenges such as an increase of computational time for optimization and instability of estimation accuracy as the dimensionality of parameters grows. To address these issues, we propose an adaptive quasi-log likelihood function based on the joint quasi-log likelihood function introduced by Shimizu and Yoshida (2003, 2006) and Ogihara and Yoshida (2011). We then show that the resulting adaptive estimators possess consistency and asymptotic normality. Furthermore, we extend the joint quasi-log likelihood function proposed by Shimizu and Yoshida (2003, 2006) and Ogihara and Yoshida (2011) and construct a test statistic using the proposed adaptive estimators. We prove that the proposed test statistic converges in distribution to a $χ^2$-distribution under the null hypothesis and that the associated test is consistent. Finally, we conduct numerical simulations using a specific jump-diffusion process model to examine the asymptotic behavior of the proposed adaptive estimators and test statistics. |
| title | Quasi-likelihood ratio test for jump-diffusion processes based on adaptive maximum likelihood inference |
| topic | Statistics Theory |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.17058 |