A Unified Framework for Semiparametrically Efficient Semi-Supervised Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Xu, Zichun, Witten, Daniela, Shojaie, Ali
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Xu, Zichun
Witten, Daniela
Shojaie, Ali
author_facet Xu, Zichun
Witten, Daniela
Shojaie, Ali
contents We consider statistical inference under a semi-supervised setting where we have access to both a labeled dataset consisting of pairs $\{X_i, Y_i \}_{i=1}^n$ and an unlabeled dataset $\{ X_i \}_{i=n+1}^{n+N}$. We ask the question: under what circumstances, and by how much, can incorporating the unlabeled dataset improve upon inference using the labeled data? To answer this question, we investigate semi-supervised learning through the lens of semiparametric efficiency theory. We characterize the efficiency lower bound under the semi-supervised setting for an arbitrary inferential problem, and show that incorporating unlabeled data can potentially improve efficiency if the parameter is not well-specified. We then propose two types of semi-supervised estimators: a safe estimator that imposes minimal assumptions, is simple to compute, and is guaranteed to be at least as efficient as the initial supervised estimator; and an efficient estimator, which -- under stronger assumptions -- achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound. Our findings unify existing semiparametric efficiency results for particular special cases, and extend these results to a much more general class of problems. Moreover, we show that our estimators can flexibly incorporate predicted outcomes arising from ``black-box" machine learning models, and thereby achieve the same goal as prediction-powered inference (PPI), but with superior theoretical guarantees. We also provide a complete understanding of the theoretical basis for the existing set of PPI methods. Finally, we apply the theoretical framework developed to derive and analyze efficient semi-supervised estimators in a number of settings, including M-estimation, U-statistics, and average treatment effect estimation, and demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimators via simulations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_17741
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Unified Framework for Semiparametrically Efficient Semi-Supervised Learning
Xu, Zichun
Witten, Daniela
Shojaie, Ali
Statistics Theory
Methodology
We consider statistical inference under a semi-supervised setting where we have access to both a labeled dataset consisting of pairs $\{X_i, Y_i \}_{i=1}^n$ and an unlabeled dataset $\{ X_i \}_{i=n+1}^{n+N}$. We ask the question: under what circumstances, and by how much, can incorporating the unlabeled dataset improve upon inference using the labeled data? To answer this question, we investigate semi-supervised learning through the lens of semiparametric efficiency theory. We characterize the efficiency lower bound under the semi-supervised setting for an arbitrary inferential problem, and show that incorporating unlabeled data can potentially improve efficiency if the parameter is not well-specified. We then propose two types of semi-supervised estimators: a safe estimator that imposes minimal assumptions, is simple to compute, and is guaranteed to be at least as efficient as the initial supervised estimator; and an efficient estimator, which -- under stronger assumptions -- achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound. Our findings unify existing semiparametric efficiency results for particular special cases, and extend these results to a much more general class of problems. Moreover, we show that our estimators can flexibly incorporate predicted outcomes arising from ``black-box" machine learning models, and thereby achieve the same goal as prediction-powered inference (PPI), but with superior theoretical guarantees. We also provide a complete understanding of the theoretical basis for the existing set of PPI methods. Finally, we apply the theoretical framework developed to derive and analyze efficient semi-supervised estimators in a number of settings, including M-estimation, U-statistics, and average treatment effect estimation, and demonstrate the performance of the proposed estimators via simulations.
title A Unified Framework for Semiparametrically Efficient Semi-Supervised Learning
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.17741