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Hauptverfasser: Xu, Jing, Hansen, Mark, Ryerson, Megan
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.18687
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author Xu, Jing
Hansen, Mark
Ryerson, Megan
author_facet Xu, Jing
Hansen, Mark
Ryerson, Megan
contents Disruptions in the National Airspace System (NAS) lead to significant losses to air traffic system participants and raise public concerns. We apply two methods, cluster analysis and anomaly detection models, to identify operational disruptions with geographical patterns in the NAS since 2010. We identify four types and twelve categories of days of operations, distinguished according to air traffic system operational performance and geographical patterns of disruptions. Two clusters--NAS Disruption and East Super Disruption, accounting for 0.8% and 1.2% of the days respectively, represent the most disrupted days of operations in U.S. air traffic system. Another 16.5% of days feature less severe but still significant disruptions focused on certain regions of the NAS, while on the remaining 81.5% of days the NAS operates relatively smoothly. Anomaly detection results show good agreement with cluster results and further distinguish days in the same cluster by severity of disruptions. Results show an increasing trend in frequency of disruptions especially post-COVID. Additionally, disruptions happen most frequently in the summer and winter.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_18687
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Identification and Characterization for Disruptions in the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS)
Xu, Jing
Hansen, Mark
Ryerson, Megan
Systems and Control
Disruptions in the National Airspace System (NAS) lead to significant losses to air traffic system participants and raise public concerns. We apply two methods, cluster analysis and anomaly detection models, to identify operational disruptions with geographical patterns in the NAS since 2010. We identify four types and twelve categories of days of operations, distinguished according to air traffic system operational performance and geographical patterns of disruptions. Two clusters--NAS Disruption and East Super Disruption, accounting for 0.8% and 1.2% of the days respectively, represent the most disrupted days of operations in U.S. air traffic system. Another 16.5% of days feature less severe but still significant disruptions focused on certain regions of the NAS, while on the remaining 81.5% of days the NAS operates relatively smoothly. Anomaly detection results show good agreement with cluster results and further distinguish days in the same cluster by severity of disruptions. Results show an increasing trend in frequency of disruptions especially post-COVID. Additionally, disruptions happen most frequently in the summer and winter.
title Identification and Characterization for Disruptions in the U.S. National Airspace System (NAS)
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.18687