Semiparametric Triple Difference Estimators

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Akbari, Sina, Kiyavash, Negar, Ghassami, AmirEmad
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Akbari, Sina
Kiyavash, Negar
Ghassami, AmirEmad
author_facet Akbari, Sina
Kiyavash, Negar
Ghassami, AmirEmad
contents The triple difference causal inference framework is an extension of the well-known difference-in-differences framework. It relaxes the parallel trends assumption of the difference-in-differences framework through leveraging data from an auxiliary domain. Despite being commonly applied in empirical research, the triple difference framework has received relatively limited attention in the statistics literature. Specifically, investigating the intricacies of identification and the design of robust and efficient estimators for this framework has remained largely unexplored. This work aims to address these gaps in the literature. From the identification standpoint, we present outcome regression and weighting methods to identify the average treatment effect on the treated in both panel data and repeated cross-section settings. For the latter, we relax the commonly made assumption of time-invariant composition of units. From the estimation perspective, we develop semiparametric estimators for the triple difference framework in both panel data and repeated cross-sections settings. These estimators are based on the cross-fitting technique, and flexible machine learning tools can be used to estimate the nuisance components. We characterize conditions under which our proposed estimators are efficient, doubly robust, root-n consistent and asymptotically normal. As an application of our proposed methodology, we examined the effect of mandated maternity benefits on the hourly wages of women of childbearing age and found that these mandates result in a 2.6% drop in hourly wages.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2502_19788
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Semiparametric Triple Difference Estimators
Akbari, Sina
Kiyavash, Negar
Ghassami, AmirEmad
Econometrics
Methodology
The triple difference causal inference framework is an extension of the well-known difference-in-differences framework. It relaxes the parallel trends assumption of the difference-in-differences framework through leveraging data from an auxiliary domain. Despite being commonly applied in empirical research, the triple difference framework has received relatively limited attention in the statistics literature. Specifically, investigating the intricacies of identification and the design of robust and efficient estimators for this framework has remained largely unexplored. This work aims to address these gaps in the literature. From the identification standpoint, we present outcome regression and weighting methods to identify the average treatment effect on the treated in both panel data and repeated cross-section settings. For the latter, we relax the commonly made assumption of time-invariant composition of units. From the estimation perspective, we develop semiparametric estimators for the triple difference framework in both panel data and repeated cross-sections settings. These estimators are based on the cross-fitting technique, and flexible machine learning tools can be used to estimate the nuisance components. We characterize conditions under which our proposed estimators are efficient, doubly robust, root-n consistent and asymptotically normal. As an application of our proposed methodology, we examined the effect of mandated maternity benefits on the hourly wages of women of childbearing age and found that these mandates result in a 2.6% drop in hourly wages.
title Semiparametric Triple Difference Estimators
topic Econometrics
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.19788