Enregistré dans:
Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: McCowan, Angus
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2502.20076
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Table des matières:
  • A prominent report claimed substantial support for two introductions of SARS-CoV-2 into humans using a calculation that combined phylodynamic inferences and epidemic models. Inspection of the calculation identifies an imbalance in the hypothesis testing framework that confounds this result; the single-introduction model was tested against more stringent conditions than the two-introduction model. Here, I show that when the two-introduction model is tested against the same conditions, the support disappears.