Predicting Cascading Failures in Power Systems using Machine Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Pani, Samita Rani, Bera, Pallav Kumar, Samal, Rajat Kanti
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Pani, Samita Rani
Bera, Pallav Kumar
Samal, Rajat Kanti
author_facet Pani, Samita Rani
Bera, Pallav Kumar
Samal, Rajat Kanti
contents Cascading failure studies help assess and enhance the robustness of power systems against severe power outages. Onset time is a critical parameter in the analysis and management of power system stability and reliability, representing the timeframe within which initial disturbances may lead to subsequent cascading failures. In this paper, different traditional machine learning algorithms are used to predict the onset time of cascading failures. The prediction task is articulated as a multi-class classification problem, employing machine learning algorithms. The results on the UIUC 150-Bus power system data available publicly show high classification accuracy with Random Forest. The hyperparameters of the Random Forest classifier are tuned using Bayesian Optimization. This study highlights the potential of machine learning models in predicting cascading failures, providing a foundation for the development of more resilient power systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_00567
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Predicting Cascading Failures in Power Systems using Machine Learning
Pani, Samita Rani
Bera, Pallav Kumar
Samal, Rajat Kanti
Signal Processing
Cascading failure studies help assess and enhance the robustness of power systems against severe power outages. Onset time is a critical parameter in the analysis and management of power system stability and reliability, representing the timeframe within which initial disturbances may lead to subsequent cascading failures. In this paper, different traditional machine learning algorithms are used to predict the onset time of cascading failures. The prediction task is articulated as a multi-class classification problem, employing machine learning algorithms. The results on the UIUC 150-Bus power system data available publicly show high classification accuracy with Random Forest. The hyperparameters of the Random Forest classifier are tuned using Bayesian Optimization. This study highlights the potential of machine learning models in predicting cascading failures, providing a foundation for the development of more resilient power systems.
title Predicting Cascading Failures in Power Systems using Machine Learning
topic Signal Processing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.00567