TRACE: A Self-Improving Framework for Robot Behavior Forecasting with Vision-Language Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Puthumanaillam, Gokul, Padrao, Paulo, Fuentes, Jose, Thangeda, Pranay, Schafer, William E., Song, Jae Hyuk, Jagdale, Karan, Bobadilla, Leonardo, Ornik, Melkior
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Puthumanaillam, Gokul
Padrao, Paulo
Fuentes, Jose
Thangeda, Pranay
Schafer, William E.
Song, Jae Hyuk
Jagdale, Karan
Bobadilla, Leonardo
Ornik, Melkior
author_facet Puthumanaillam, Gokul
Padrao, Paulo
Fuentes, Jose
Thangeda, Pranay
Schafer, William E.
Song, Jae Hyuk
Jagdale, Karan
Bobadilla, Leonardo
Ornik, Melkior
contents Predicting the near-term behavior of a reactive agent is crucial in many robotic scenarios, yet remains challenging when observations of that agent are sparse or intermittent. Vision-Language Models (VLMs) offer a promising avenue by integrating textual domain knowledge with visual cues, but their one-shot predictions often miss important edge cases and unusual maneuvers. Our key insight is that iterative, counterfactual exploration--where a dedicated module probes each proposed behavior hypothesis, explicitly represented as a plausible trajectory, for overlooked possibilities--can significantly enhance VLM-based behavioral forecasting. We present TRACE (Tree-of-thought Reasoning And Counterfactual Exploration), an inference framework that couples tree-of-thought generation with domain-aware feedback to refine behavior hypotheses over multiple rounds. Concretely, a VLM first proposes candidate trajectories for the agent; a counterfactual critic then suggests edge-case variations consistent with partial observations, prompting the VLM to expand or adjust its hypotheses in the next iteration. This creates a self-improving cycle where the VLM progressively internalizes edge cases from previous rounds, systematically uncovering not only typical behaviors but also rare or borderline maneuvers, ultimately yielding more robust trajectory predictions from minimal sensor data. We validate TRACE on both ground-vehicle simulations and real-world marine autonomous surface vehicles. Experimental results show that our method consistently outperforms standard VLM-driven and purely model-based baselines, capturing a broader range of feasible agent behaviors despite sparse sensing. Evaluation videos and code are available at trace-robotics.github.io.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_00761
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle TRACE: A Self-Improving Framework for Robot Behavior Forecasting with Vision-Language Models
Puthumanaillam, Gokul
Padrao, Paulo
Fuentes, Jose
Thangeda, Pranay
Schafer, William E.
Song, Jae Hyuk
Jagdale, Karan
Bobadilla, Leonardo
Ornik, Melkior
Robotics
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Multiagent Systems
Systems and Control
Predicting the near-term behavior of a reactive agent is crucial in many robotic scenarios, yet remains challenging when observations of that agent are sparse or intermittent. Vision-Language Models (VLMs) offer a promising avenue by integrating textual domain knowledge with visual cues, but their one-shot predictions often miss important edge cases and unusual maneuvers. Our key insight is that iterative, counterfactual exploration--where a dedicated module probes each proposed behavior hypothesis, explicitly represented as a plausible trajectory, for overlooked possibilities--can significantly enhance VLM-based behavioral forecasting. We present TRACE (Tree-of-thought Reasoning And Counterfactual Exploration), an inference framework that couples tree-of-thought generation with domain-aware feedback to refine behavior hypotheses over multiple rounds. Concretely, a VLM first proposes candidate trajectories for the agent; a counterfactual critic then suggests edge-case variations consistent with partial observations, prompting the VLM to expand or adjust its hypotheses in the next iteration. This creates a self-improving cycle where the VLM progressively internalizes edge cases from previous rounds, systematically uncovering not only typical behaviors but also rare or borderline maneuvers, ultimately yielding more robust trajectory predictions from minimal sensor data. We validate TRACE on both ground-vehicle simulations and real-world marine autonomous surface vehicles. Experimental results show that our method consistently outperforms standard VLM-driven and purely model-based baselines, capturing a broader range of feasible agent behaviors despite sparse sensing. Evaluation videos and code are available at trace-robotics.github.io.
title TRACE: A Self-Improving Framework for Robot Behavior Forecasting with Vision-Language Models
topic Robotics
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Multiagent Systems
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.00761