Can Large Language Models Help Experimental Design for Causal Discovery?

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Li, Junyi, Chen, Yongqiang, Liu, Chenxi, Cai, Qianyi, Liu, Tongliang, Han, Bo, Zhang, Kun, Xiong, Hui
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Li, Junyi
Chen, Yongqiang
Liu, Chenxi
Cai, Qianyi
Liu, Tongliang
Han, Bo
Zhang, Kun
Xiong, Hui
author_facet Li, Junyi
Chen, Yongqiang
Liu, Chenxi
Cai, Qianyi
Liu, Tongliang
Han, Bo
Zhang, Kun
Xiong, Hui
contents Designing proper experiments and selecting optimal intervention targets is a longstanding problem in scientific or causal discovery. Identifying the underlying causal structure from observational data alone is inherently difficult. Obtaining interventional data, on the other hand, is crucial to causal discovery, yet it is usually expensive and time-consuming to gather sufficient interventional data to facilitate causal discovery. Previous approaches commonly utilize uncertainty or gradient signals to determine the intervention targets. However, numerical-based approaches may yield suboptimal results due to the inaccurate estimation of the guiding signals at the beginning when with limited interventional data. In this work, we investigate a different approach, whether we can leverage Large Language Models (LLMs) to assist with the intervention targeting in causal discovery by making use of the rich world knowledge about the experimental design in LLMs. Specifically, we present Large Language Model Guided Intervention Targeting (LeGIT) -- a robust framework that effectively incorporates LLMs to augment existing numerical approaches for the intervention targeting in causal discovery. Across 4 realistic benchmark scales, LeGIT demonstrates significant improvements and robustness over existing methods and even surpasses humans, which demonstrates the usefulness of LLMs in assisting with experimental design for scientific discovery.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_01139
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Can Large Language Models Help Experimental Design for Causal Discovery?
Li, Junyi
Chen, Yongqiang
Liu, Chenxi
Cai, Qianyi
Liu, Tongliang
Han, Bo
Zhang, Kun
Xiong, Hui
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Methodology
Designing proper experiments and selecting optimal intervention targets is a longstanding problem in scientific or causal discovery. Identifying the underlying causal structure from observational data alone is inherently difficult. Obtaining interventional data, on the other hand, is crucial to causal discovery, yet it is usually expensive and time-consuming to gather sufficient interventional data to facilitate causal discovery. Previous approaches commonly utilize uncertainty or gradient signals to determine the intervention targets. However, numerical-based approaches may yield suboptimal results due to the inaccurate estimation of the guiding signals at the beginning when with limited interventional data. In this work, we investigate a different approach, whether we can leverage Large Language Models (LLMs) to assist with the intervention targeting in causal discovery by making use of the rich world knowledge about the experimental design in LLMs. Specifically, we present Large Language Model Guided Intervention Targeting (LeGIT) -- a robust framework that effectively incorporates LLMs to augment existing numerical approaches for the intervention targeting in causal discovery. Across 4 realistic benchmark scales, LeGIT demonstrates significant improvements and robustness over existing methods and even surpasses humans, which demonstrates the usefulness of LLMs in assisting with experimental design for scientific discovery.
title Can Large Language Models Help Experimental Design for Causal Discovery?
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.01139