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Main Authors: Peng, Tianyi, Ye, Naimeng, Zheng, Andrew
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.02271
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author Peng, Tianyi
Ye, Naimeng
Zheng, Andrew
author_facet Peng, Tianyi
Ye, Naimeng
Zheng, Andrew
contents Experiments in online platforms frequently suffer from network interference, in which a treatment applied to a given unit affects outcomes for other units connected via the platform. This SUTVA violation biases naive approaches to experiment design and estimation. A common solution is to reduce interference by clustering connected units, and randomizing treatments at the cluster level, typically followed by estimation using one of two extremes: either a simple difference-in-means (DM) estimator, which ignores remaining interference; or an unbiased Horvitz-Thompson (HT) estimator, which eliminates interference at great cost in variance. Even combined with clustered designs, this presents a limited set of achievable bias variance tradeoffs. We propose a new estimator, dubbed Differences-in-Neighbors (DN), designed explicitly to mitigate network interference. Compared to DM estimators, DN achieves bias second order in the magnitude of the interference effect, while its variance is exponentially smaller than that of HT estimators. When combined with clustered designs, DN offers improved bias-variance tradeoffs not achievable by existing approaches. Empirical evaluations on a large-scale social network and a city-level ride-sharing simulator demonstrate the superior performance of DN in experiments at practical scale.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_02271
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Differences-in-Neighbors for Network Interference in Experiments
Peng, Tianyi
Ye, Naimeng
Zheng, Andrew
Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
Experiments in online platforms frequently suffer from network interference, in which a treatment applied to a given unit affects outcomes for other units connected via the platform. This SUTVA violation biases naive approaches to experiment design and estimation. A common solution is to reduce interference by clustering connected units, and randomizing treatments at the cluster level, typically followed by estimation using one of two extremes: either a simple difference-in-means (DM) estimator, which ignores remaining interference; or an unbiased Horvitz-Thompson (HT) estimator, which eliminates interference at great cost in variance. Even combined with clustered designs, this presents a limited set of achievable bias variance tradeoffs. We propose a new estimator, dubbed Differences-in-Neighbors (DN), designed explicitly to mitigate network interference. Compared to DM estimators, DN achieves bias second order in the magnitude of the interference effect, while its variance is exponentially smaller than that of HT estimators. When combined with clustered designs, DN offers improved bias-variance tradeoffs not achievable by existing approaches. Empirical evaluations on a large-scale social network and a city-level ride-sharing simulator demonstrate the superior performance of DN in experiments at practical scale.
title Differences-in-Neighbors for Network Interference in Experiments
topic Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.02271