Approximate Equilibria in Nonconvex Markets: Theory and Evidence from European Electricity Auctions

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Hübner, Thomas
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Hübner, Thomas
author_facet Hübner, Thomas
contents A fundamental challenge in the design of nonconvex markets is the absence of existence guarantees for Walrasian equilibria. Despite this lack of guarantees, we observed that the European day-ahead electricity auction attained equilibrium on approximately 80% of days during 2023 in some countries, while in others, it occurred on about 10% of days. By analysing auction microdata, we attribute these differences to varying ratios of divisible (convex) bids versus indivisible (nonconvex) ones. To provide a theoretical foundation for this empirical observation, we refine classical approximate equilibrium theorems to establish a link between the market share of nonconvex participants and the existence of (approximate) equilibria. These findings offer new insights into the conditions under which equilibria can emerge in practice and contribute to current policy discussions on the reform of the European electricity auction.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_02464
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Approximate Equilibria in Nonconvex Markets: Theory and Evidence from European Electricity Auctions
Hübner, Thomas
Theoretical Economics
A fundamental challenge in the design of nonconvex markets is the absence of existence guarantees for Walrasian equilibria. Despite this lack of guarantees, we observed that the European day-ahead electricity auction attained equilibrium on approximately 80% of days during 2023 in some countries, while in others, it occurred on about 10% of days. By analysing auction microdata, we attribute these differences to varying ratios of divisible (convex) bids versus indivisible (nonconvex) ones. To provide a theoretical foundation for this empirical observation, we refine classical approximate equilibrium theorems to establish a link between the market share of nonconvex participants and the existence of (approximate) equilibria. These findings offer new insights into the conditions under which equilibria can emerge in practice and contribute to current policy discussions on the reform of the European electricity auction.
title Approximate Equilibria in Nonconvex Markets: Theory and Evidence from European Electricity Auctions
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.02464