Computer-aided shape features extraction and regression models for predicting the ascending aortic aneurysm growth rate

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Main Authors: Geronzi, Leonardo, Martinez, Antonio, Rochette, Michel, Yan, Kexin, Bel-Brunon, Aline, Haigron, Pascal, Escrig, Pierre, Tomasi, Jacques, Daniel, Morgan, Lalande, Alain, Lin, Siyu, Marin-Castrillon, Diana Marcela, Bouchot, Olivier, Porterie, Jean, Valentini, Pier Paolo, Biancolini, Marco Evangelos
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Geronzi, Leonardo
Martinez, Antonio
Rochette, Michel
Yan, Kexin
Bel-Brunon, Aline
Haigron, Pascal
Escrig, Pierre
Tomasi, Jacques
Daniel, Morgan
Lalande, Alain
Lin, Siyu
Marin-Castrillon, Diana Marcela
Bouchot, Olivier
Porterie, Jean
Valentini, Pier Paolo
Biancolini, Marco Evangelos
author_facet Geronzi, Leonardo
Martinez, Antonio
Rochette, Michel
Yan, Kexin
Bel-Brunon, Aline
Haigron, Pascal
Escrig, Pierre
Tomasi, Jacques
Daniel, Morgan
Lalande, Alain
Lin, Siyu
Marin-Castrillon, Diana Marcela
Bouchot, Olivier
Porterie, Jean
Valentini, Pier Paolo
Biancolini, Marco Evangelos
contents Objective: ascending aortic aneurysm growth prediction is still challenging in clinics. In this study, we evaluate and compare the ability of local and global shape features to predict ascending aortic aneurysm growth. Material and methods: 70 patients with aneurysm, for which two 3D acquisitions were available, are included. Following segmentation, three local shape features are computed: (1) the ratio between maximum diameter and length of the ascending aorta centerline, (2) the ratio between the length of external and internal lines on the ascending aorta and (3) the tortuosity of the ascending tract. By exploiting longitudinal data, the aneurysm growth rate is derived. Using radial basis function mesh morphing, iso-topological surface meshes are created. Statistical shape analysis is performed through unsupervised principal component analysis (PCA) and supervised partial least squares (PLS). Two types of global shape features are identified: three PCA-derived and three PLS-based shape modes. Three regression models are set for growth prediction: two based on gaussian support vector machine using local and PCA-derived global shape features; the third is a PLS linear regression model based on the related global shape features. The prediction results are assessed and the aortic shapes most prone to growth are identified. Results: the prediction root mean square error from leave-one-out cross-validation is: 0.112 mm/month, 0.083 mm/month and 0.066 mm/month for local, PCA-based and PLS-derived shape features, respectively. Aneurysms close to the root with a large initial diameter report faster growth. Conclusion: global shape features might provide an important contribution for predicting the aneurysm growth.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_02915
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Computer-aided shape features extraction and regression models for predicting the ascending aortic aneurysm growth rate
Geronzi, Leonardo
Martinez, Antonio
Rochette, Michel
Yan, Kexin
Bel-Brunon, Aline
Haigron, Pascal
Escrig, Pierre
Tomasi, Jacques
Daniel, Morgan
Lalande, Alain
Lin, Siyu
Marin-Castrillon, Diana Marcela
Bouchot, Olivier
Porterie, Jean
Valentini, Pier Paolo
Biancolini, Marco Evangelos
Image and Video Processing
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
Numerical Analysis
Medical Physics
Objective: ascending aortic aneurysm growth prediction is still challenging in clinics. In this study, we evaluate and compare the ability of local and global shape features to predict ascending aortic aneurysm growth. Material and methods: 70 patients with aneurysm, for which two 3D acquisitions were available, are included. Following segmentation, three local shape features are computed: (1) the ratio between maximum diameter and length of the ascending aorta centerline, (2) the ratio between the length of external and internal lines on the ascending aorta and (3) the tortuosity of the ascending tract. By exploiting longitudinal data, the aneurysm growth rate is derived. Using radial basis function mesh morphing, iso-topological surface meshes are created. Statistical shape analysis is performed through unsupervised principal component analysis (PCA) and supervised partial least squares (PLS). Two types of global shape features are identified: three PCA-derived and three PLS-based shape modes. Three regression models are set for growth prediction: two based on gaussian support vector machine using local and PCA-derived global shape features; the third is a PLS linear regression model based on the related global shape features. The prediction results are assessed and the aortic shapes most prone to growth are identified. Results: the prediction root mean square error from leave-one-out cross-validation is: 0.112 mm/month, 0.083 mm/month and 0.066 mm/month for local, PCA-based and PLS-derived shape features, respectively. Aneurysms close to the root with a large initial diameter report faster growth. Conclusion: global shape features might provide an important contribution for predicting the aneurysm growth.
title Computer-aided shape features extraction and regression models for predicting the ascending aortic aneurysm growth rate
topic Image and Video Processing
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Machine Learning
Numerical Analysis
Medical Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.02915