Drift estimation for rough processes under small noise asymptotic : trajectory fitting method

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Gloter, Arnaud, Yoshida, Nakahiro
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Gloter, Arnaud
Yoshida, Nakahiro
author_facet Gloter, Arnaud
Yoshida, Nakahiro
contents We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $θ^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{α-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with $α\in (0,1/2)$. It is assumed that the diffusion coefficient is proportional to $\ve \to 0$. From an observation of the path $(X^\ve\_s)\_{s\in[0,T]}$, we construct a Trajectory Fitting Estimator, which is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. We also specify identifiability conditions insuring the $L^p$ convergence of the estimator.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_03347
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Drift estimation for rough processes under small noise asymptotic : trajectory fitting method
Gloter, Arnaud
Yoshida, Nakahiro
Statistics Theory
We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $θ^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{α-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with $α\in (0,1/2)$. It is assumed that the diffusion coefficient is proportional to $\ve \to 0$. From an observation of the path $(X^\ve\_s)\_{s\in[0,T]}$, we construct a Trajectory Fitting Estimator, which is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. We also specify identifiability conditions insuring the $L^p$ convergence of the estimator.
title Drift estimation for rough processes under small noise asymptotic : trajectory fitting method
topic Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.03347