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Main Authors: van de Sande, Yana, Açar, Gunes, van Woudenberg, Thabo, Larson, Martha
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.04271
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author van de Sande, Yana
Açar, Gunes
van Woudenberg, Thabo
Larson, Martha
author_facet van de Sande, Yana
Açar, Gunes
van Woudenberg, Thabo
Larson, Martha
contents We study LLM judgments of misinformation expressed with uncertainty. Our experiments study the response of three widely used LLMs (GPT-4o, LlaMA3, DeepSeek-v2) to misinformation propositions that have been verified false and then are transformed into uncertain statements according to an uncertainty typology. Our results show that after transformation, LLMs change their factchecking classification from false to not-false in 25% of the cases. Analysis reveals that the change cannot be explained by predictors to which humans are expected to be sensitive, i.e., modality, linguistic cues, or argumentation strategy. The exception is doxastic transformations, which use linguistic cue phrases such as "It is believed ...".To gain further insight, we prompt the LLM to make another judgment about the transformed misinformation statements that is not related to truth value. Specifically, we study LLM estimates of the frequency with which people make the uncertain statement. We find a small but significant correlation between judgment of fact and estimation of frequency.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_04271
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On Fact and Frequency: LLM Responses to Misinformation Expressed with Uncertainty
van de Sande, Yana
Açar, Gunes
van Woudenberg, Thabo
Larson, Martha
Computation and Language
Computers and Society
91F20
I.2.7; I.2.4; K.4; J.4
We study LLM judgments of misinformation expressed with uncertainty. Our experiments study the response of three widely used LLMs (GPT-4o, LlaMA3, DeepSeek-v2) to misinformation propositions that have been verified false and then are transformed into uncertain statements according to an uncertainty typology. Our results show that after transformation, LLMs change their factchecking classification from false to not-false in 25% of the cases. Analysis reveals that the change cannot be explained by predictors to which humans are expected to be sensitive, i.e., modality, linguistic cues, or argumentation strategy. The exception is doxastic transformations, which use linguistic cue phrases such as "It is believed ...".To gain further insight, we prompt the LLM to make another judgment about the transformed misinformation statements that is not related to truth value. Specifically, we study LLM estimates of the frequency with which people make the uncertain statement. We find a small but significant correlation between judgment of fact and estimation of frequency.
title On Fact and Frequency: LLM Responses to Misinformation Expressed with Uncertainty
topic Computation and Language
Computers and Society
91F20
I.2.7; I.2.4; K.4; J.4
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.04271