Compositional Causal Reasoning Evaluation in Language Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Maasch, Jacqueline R. M. A., Hüyük, Alihan, Xu, Xinnuo, Nori, Aditya V., Gonzalez, Javier
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Maasch, Jacqueline R. M. A.
Hüyük, Alihan
Xu, Xinnuo
Nori, Aditya V.
Gonzalez, Javier
author_facet Maasch, Jacqueline R. M. A.
Hüyük, Alihan
Xu, Xinnuo
Nori, Aditya V.
Gonzalez, Javier
contents Causal reasoning and compositional reasoning are two core aspirations in AI. Measuring the extent of these behaviors requires principled evaluation methods. We explore a unified perspective that considers both behaviors simultaneously, termed compositional causal reasoning (CCR): the ability to infer how causal measures compose and, equivalently, how causal quantities propagate through graphs. We instantiate a framework for the systematic evaluation of CCR for the average treatment effect and the probability of necessity and sufficiency. As proof of concept, we demonstrate CCR evaluation for language models in the LLama, Phi, and GPT families. On a math word problem, our framework revealed a range of taxonomically distinct error patterns. CCR errors increased with the complexity of causal paths for all models except o1.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_04556
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Compositional Causal Reasoning Evaluation in Language Models
Maasch, Jacqueline R. M. A.
Hüyük, Alihan
Xu, Xinnuo
Nori, Aditya V.
Gonzalez, Javier
Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Causal reasoning and compositional reasoning are two core aspirations in AI. Measuring the extent of these behaviors requires principled evaluation methods. We explore a unified perspective that considers both behaviors simultaneously, termed compositional causal reasoning (CCR): the ability to infer how causal measures compose and, equivalently, how causal quantities propagate through graphs. We instantiate a framework for the systematic evaluation of CCR for the average treatment effect and the probability of necessity and sufficiency. As proof of concept, we demonstrate CCR evaluation for language models in the LLama, Phi, and GPT families. On a math word problem, our framework revealed a range of taxonomically distinct error patterns. CCR errors increased with the complexity of causal paths for all models except o1.
title Compositional Causal Reasoning Evaluation in Language Models
topic Computation and Language
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.04556