Lonely passengers: a short proof

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Haslegrave, John
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Haslegrave, John
author_facet Haslegrave, John
contents A fixed number of passengers independently board one of several buses uniformly at random. The lonely passenger problem is to prove that the probability of at least one passenger being the only one in their bus is increasing in the number of buses. It was solved in a strong form by Imre Péter Tóth, who proved stochastic dominance of the number of such passengers as the number of buses increases, but observed that, surprisingly, no short proof was known ``despite the efforts of several experts''. We give a very short proof of the weaker result. The proof of the strong form, using the same idea, is more involved but still relatively short.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_05363
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Lonely passengers: a short proof
Haslegrave, John
Probability
Combinatorics
60C05
A fixed number of passengers independently board one of several buses uniformly at random. The lonely passenger problem is to prove that the probability of at least one passenger being the only one in their bus is increasing in the number of buses. It was solved in a strong form by Imre Péter Tóth, who proved stochastic dominance of the number of such passengers as the number of buses increases, but observed that, surprisingly, no short proof was known ``despite the efforts of several experts''. We give a very short proof of the weaker result. The proof of the strong form, using the same idea, is more involved but still relatively short.
title Lonely passengers: a short proof
topic Probability
Combinatorics
60C05
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.05363