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Main Authors: Chowdhury, Meghna Roy, Xuan, Wei, Sen, Shreyas, Zhao, Yixue, Ding, Yi
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.08002
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author Chowdhury, Meghna Roy
Xuan, Wei
Sen, Shreyas
Zhao, Yixue
Ding, Yi
author_facet Chowdhury, Meghna Roy
Xuan, Wei
Sen, Shreyas
Zhao, Yixue
Ding, Yi
contents Mental health issues among college students have reached critical levels, significantly impacting academic performance and overall wellbeing. Predicting and understanding mental health status among college students is challenging due to three main factors: the necessity for large-scale longitudinal datasets, the prevalence of black-box machine learning models lacking transparency, and the tendency of existing approaches to provide aggregated insights at the population level rather than individualized understanding. To tackle these challenges, this paper presents I-HOPE, the first Interpretable Hierarchical mOdel for Personalized mEntal health prediction. I-HOPE is a two-stage hierarchical model that connects raw behavioral features to mental health status through five defined behavioral categories as interaction labels. We evaluate I-HOPE on the College Experience Study, the longest longitudinal mobile sensing dataset. This dataset spans five years and captures data from both pre-pandemic periods and the COVID-19 pandemic. I-HOPE achieves a prediction accuracy of 91%, significantly surpassing the 60-70% accuracy of baseline methods. In addition, I-HOPE distills complex patterns into interpretable and individualized insights, enabling the future development of tailored interventions and improving mental health support. The code is available at https://github.com/roycmeghna/I-HOPE.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_08002
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Predicting and Understanding College Student Mental Health with Interpretable Machine Learning
Chowdhury, Meghna Roy
Xuan, Wei
Sen, Shreyas
Zhao, Yixue
Ding, Yi
Machine Learning
Computers and Society
Mental health issues among college students have reached critical levels, significantly impacting academic performance and overall wellbeing. Predicting and understanding mental health status among college students is challenging due to three main factors: the necessity for large-scale longitudinal datasets, the prevalence of black-box machine learning models lacking transparency, and the tendency of existing approaches to provide aggregated insights at the population level rather than individualized understanding. To tackle these challenges, this paper presents I-HOPE, the first Interpretable Hierarchical mOdel for Personalized mEntal health prediction. I-HOPE is a two-stage hierarchical model that connects raw behavioral features to mental health status through five defined behavioral categories as interaction labels. We evaluate I-HOPE on the College Experience Study, the longest longitudinal mobile sensing dataset. This dataset spans five years and captures data from both pre-pandemic periods and the COVID-19 pandemic. I-HOPE achieves a prediction accuracy of 91%, significantly surpassing the 60-70% accuracy of baseline methods. In addition, I-HOPE distills complex patterns into interpretable and individualized insights, enabling the future development of tailored interventions and improving mental health support. The code is available at https://github.com/roycmeghna/I-HOPE.
title Predicting and Understanding College Student Mental Health with Interpretable Machine Learning
topic Machine Learning
Computers and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.08002