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Main Authors: Hokmabad, Hossein Nourollahi, Shahsavar, Tala Hemmati, Vergara, Pedro P., Husev, Oleksandr, Belikov, Juri
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.08113
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author Hokmabad, Hossein Nourollahi
Shahsavar, Tala Hemmati
Vergara, Pedro P.
Husev, Oleksandr
Belikov, Juri
author_facet Hokmabad, Hossein Nourollahi
Shahsavar, Tala Hemmati
Vergara, Pedro P.
Husev, Oleksandr
Belikov, Juri
contents Buildings are essential components of power grids, and their energy performance directly affects overall power system operation. This paper presents a novel stochastic optimization framework for building energy management systems, aiming to enhance buildings' energy performance and facilitate their effective integration into emerging intelligent power grids. In this method, solar power generation and building electricity demand forecasts are combined with historical data, leveraging statistical characteristics to generate probability matrices and corresponding scenarios with associated probabilities. These scenarios are then used to solve the stochastic optimization problem, optimizing building energy flow while accounting for existing uncertainties. The results demonstrate that the proposed methodology effectively manages inherent uncertainties while maintaining performance and outperforming rule-based and custom build reinforcement learning based solutions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_08113
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Forecast-Driven Scenario Generation for Building Energy Management Using Stochastic Optimization
Hokmabad, Hossein Nourollahi
Shahsavar, Tala Hemmati
Vergara, Pedro P.
Husev, Oleksandr
Belikov, Juri
Systems and Control
Buildings are essential components of power grids, and their energy performance directly affects overall power system operation. This paper presents a novel stochastic optimization framework for building energy management systems, aiming to enhance buildings' energy performance and facilitate their effective integration into emerging intelligent power grids. In this method, solar power generation and building electricity demand forecasts are combined with historical data, leveraging statistical characteristics to generate probability matrices and corresponding scenarios with associated probabilities. These scenarios are then used to solve the stochastic optimization problem, optimizing building energy flow while accounting for existing uncertainties. The results demonstrate that the proposed methodology effectively manages inherent uncertainties while maintaining performance and outperforming rule-based and custom build reinforcement learning based solutions.
title Forecast-Driven Scenario Generation for Building Energy Management Using Stochastic Optimization
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.08113