LLM-PS: Empowering Large Language Models for Time Series Forecasting with Temporal Patterns and Semantics

Fuente: arXiv
Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tang, Jialiang, Chen, Shuo, Gong, Chen, Zhang, Jing, Tao, Dacheng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866915195308212224
author Tang, Jialiang
Chen, Shuo
Gong, Chen
Zhang, Jing
Tao, Dacheng
author_facet Tang, Jialiang
Chen, Shuo
Gong, Chen
Zhang, Jing
Tao, Dacheng
contents Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is critical in many real-world domains like financial planning and health monitoring. Recent studies have revealed that Large Language Models (LLMs), with their powerful in-contextual modeling capabilities, hold significant potential for TSF. However, existing LLM-based methods usually perform suboptimally because they neglect the inherent characteristics of time series data. Unlike the textual data used in LLM pre-training, the time series data is semantically sparse and comprises distinctive temporal patterns. To address this problem, we propose LLM-PS to empower the LLM for TSF by learning the fundamental \textit{Patterns} and meaningful \textit{Semantics} from time series data. Our LLM-PS incorporates a new multi-scale convolutional neural network adept at capturing both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends within the time series. Meanwhile, we introduce a time-to-text module for extracting valuable semantics across continuous time intervals rather than isolated time points. By integrating these patterns and semantics, LLM-PS effectively models temporal dependencies, enabling a deep comprehension of time series and delivering accurate forecasts. Intensive experimental results demonstrate that LLM-PS achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short- and long-term forecasting tasks, as well as in few- and zero-shot settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_09656
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle LLM-PS: Empowering Large Language Models for Time Series Forecasting with Temporal Patterns and Semantics
Tang, Jialiang
Chen, Shuo
Gong, Chen
Zhang, Jing
Tao, Dacheng
Machine Learning
Computation and Language
Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is critical in many real-world domains like financial planning and health monitoring. Recent studies have revealed that Large Language Models (LLMs), with their powerful in-contextual modeling capabilities, hold significant potential for TSF. However, existing LLM-based methods usually perform suboptimally because they neglect the inherent characteristics of time series data. Unlike the textual data used in LLM pre-training, the time series data is semantically sparse and comprises distinctive temporal patterns. To address this problem, we propose LLM-PS to empower the LLM for TSF by learning the fundamental \textit{Patterns} and meaningful \textit{Semantics} from time series data. Our LLM-PS incorporates a new multi-scale convolutional neural network adept at capturing both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends within the time series. Meanwhile, we introduce a time-to-text module for extracting valuable semantics across continuous time intervals rather than isolated time points. By integrating these patterns and semantics, LLM-PS effectively models temporal dependencies, enabling a deep comprehension of time series and delivering accurate forecasts. Intensive experimental results demonstrate that LLM-PS achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short- and long-term forecasting tasks, as well as in few- and zero-shot settings.
title LLM-PS: Empowering Large Language Models for Time Series Forecasting with Temporal Patterns and Semantics
topic Machine Learning
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09656