Using Causal Inference to Explore Government Policy Impact on Computer Usage

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zhu, Mingjia, Wang, Lechuan, Sebot, Julien, Arbab, Bijan, Salimi, Babak, Cloninger, Alexander
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Zhu, Mingjia
Wang, Lechuan
Sebot, Julien
Arbab, Bijan
Salimi, Babak
Cloninger, Alexander
author_facet Zhu, Mingjia
Wang, Lechuan
Sebot, Julien
Arbab, Bijan
Salimi, Babak
Cloninger, Alexander
contents We explore the causal relationship between COVID-19 lockdown policies and changes in personal computer usage. In particular, we examine how lockdown policies affected average daily computer usage, as well as how it affected usage patterns of different groups of users. This is done through a merging of the Oxford Policy public data set, which describes the timeline of implementation of COVID policies across the world, and a collection of Intel's Data Collection and Analytics (DCA) telemetry data, which includes millions of computer usage records and updates daily. Through difference-in-difference, synthetic control, and change-point detection algorithms, we identify causal links between the increase in intensity (watts) and time (hours) of computer usage and the implementation of work from home policy. We also show an interesting trend in the individual's computer usage affected by the policy. We also conclude that computer usage behaviors are much less predictable during reduction in COVID lockdown policies than during increases in COVID lockdown policies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_09957
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Using Causal Inference to Explore Government Policy Impact on Computer Usage
Zhu, Mingjia
Wang, Lechuan
Sebot, Julien
Arbab, Bijan
Salimi, Babak
Cloninger, Alexander
Applications
Computers and Society
We explore the causal relationship between COVID-19 lockdown policies and changes in personal computer usage. In particular, we examine how lockdown policies affected average daily computer usage, as well as how it affected usage patterns of different groups of users. This is done through a merging of the Oxford Policy public data set, which describes the timeline of implementation of COVID policies across the world, and a collection of Intel's Data Collection and Analytics (DCA) telemetry data, which includes millions of computer usage records and updates daily. Through difference-in-difference, synthetic control, and change-point detection algorithms, we identify causal links between the increase in intensity (watts) and time (hours) of computer usage and the implementation of work from home policy. We also show an interesting trend in the individual's computer usage affected by the policy. We also conclude that computer usage behaviors are much less predictable during reduction in COVID lockdown policies than during increases in COVID lockdown policies.
title Using Causal Inference to Explore Government Policy Impact on Computer Usage
topic Applications
Computers and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.09957