Quantifying sleep apnea heterogeneity using hierarchical Bayesian modeling

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Palmer, Glenn, Srivali, Narat, Dunson, David B.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Palmer, Glenn
Srivali, Narat
Dunson, David B.
author_facet Palmer, Glenn
Srivali, Narat
Dunson, David B.
contents Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) is a breathing disorder during sleep that affects millions of people worldwide. The diagnosis of OSA often occurs through an overnight polysomnogram (PSG) sleep study that generates a massive amount of physiological data. However, despite the evidence of substantial heterogeneity in the expression and symptoms of OSA, diagnosis and scientific analysis of severity typically focus on a single summary statistic, the Apnea-Hypopnea Index (AHI). We address the limitations of this approach through hierarchical Bayesian modeling of PSG data. Our approach produces interpretable random effects for each patient, which govern sleep-stage dynamics, rates of OSA events, and impacts of OSA events on subsequent sleep-stage dynamics. We propose a novel approach for using these random effects to produce a Bayes optimal clustering of patients. We use the proposed approach to analyze data from the APPLES study. Our analysis produces clinically interesting groups of patients with sleep apnea and a novel finding of an association between OSA expression and cognitive performance that is missed by an AHI-based analysis.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_11599
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Quantifying sleep apnea heterogeneity using hierarchical Bayesian modeling
Palmer, Glenn
Srivali, Narat
Dunson, David B.
Applications
Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) is a breathing disorder during sleep that affects millions of people worldwide. The diagnosis of OSA often occurs through an overnight polysomnogram (PSG) sleep study that generates a massive amount of physiological data. However, despite the evidence of substantial heterogeneity in the expression and symptoms of OSA, diagnosis and scientific analysis of severity typically focus on a single summary statistic, the Apnea-Hypopnea Index (AHI). We address the limitations of this approach through hierarchical Bayesian modeling of PSG data. Our approach produces interpretable random effects for each patient, which govern sleep-stage dynamics, rates of OSA events, and impacts of OSA events on subsequent sleep-stage dynamics. We propose a novel approach for using these random effects to produce a Bayes optimal clustering of patients. We use the proposed approach to analyze data from the APPLES study. Our analysis produces clinically interesting groups of patients with sleep apnea and a novel finding of an association between OSA expression and cognitive performance that is missed by an AHI-based analysis.
title Quantifying sleep apnea heterogeneity using hierarchical Bayesian modeling
topic Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.11599