Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2025
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.11875 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1866912428014436352 |
|---|---|
| author | Sautron, Mattéo McEwen, Alexander Eli Younes, George Pétri, Jérôme Beniamini, Paz Huppenkothen, Daniela |
| author_facet | Sautron, Mattéo McEwen, Alexander Eli Younes, George Pétri, Jérôme Beniamini, Paz Huppenkothen, Daniela |
| contents | Population synthesis modeling of the observed dynamical and physical properties of a population is a highly effective method for constraining the underlying birth parameters and evolutionary tracks. In this work, we apply a population synthesis model to the canonical magnetar population to gain insight into the parent population. We utilize simulation-based inference to reproduce the observed magnetar population with a model which takes into account the secular evolution of the force-free magnetosphere and magnetic field decay simultaneously and self-consistently. Our observational constraints are such that no magnetar is detected through their persistent emission when convolving the simulated populations with the XMM-Newton EPIC-pn Galactic plane observations, and that all of the $\sim$30 known magnetars are discovered through their bursting activity in the last $\sim50$ years. Under these constraints, we find that, within 95 % credible intervals, the birth rate of magnetars to be $1.8^{+2.6}_{-0.6}$ kyr$^{-1}$, and lead to having $10.7^{+18.8}_{-4.4}$ % of neutron stars born as magnetars. We also find a mean magnetic field at birth ($μ_b$ is in T) $\log\left(μ_b\right) = 10.2^{+0.1}_{-0.2}$, a magnetic field decay slope $α_d = 1.9 ^{+0.9}_{-1.3}$, and timescale $τ_d = 17.9^{+24.1}_{-14.5}$ kyr, in broad agreement with previous estimates. We conclude this study by exploring detection prospects: an all-sky survey with XMM-Newton would potentially allow to get around 7 periodic detections of magnetars, with approximately 150 magnetars exceeding XMM-Newton's flux threshold, and the upcoming AXIS experiment should allow to double these detections. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_11875 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | The Galactic population of magnetars : a simulation-based inference study Sautron, Mattéo McEwen, Alexander Eli Younes, George Pétri, Jérôme Beniamini, Paz Huppenkothen, Daniela High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena Population synthesis modeling of the observed dynamical and physical properties of a population is a highly effective method for constraining the underlying birth parameters and evolutionary tracks. In this work, we apply a population synthesis model to the canonical magnetar population to gain insight into the parent population. We utilize simulation-based inference to reproduce the observed magnetar population with a model which takes into account the secular evolution of the force-free magnetosphere and magnetic field decay simultaneously and self-consistently. Our observational constraints are such that no magnetar is detected through their persistent emission when convolving the simulated populations with the XMM-Newton EPIC-pn Galactic plane observations, and that all of the $\sim$30 known magnetars are discovered through their bursting activity in the last $\sim50$ years. Under these constraints, we find that, within 95 % credible intervals, the birth rate of magnetars to be $1.8^{+2.6}_{-0.6}$ kyr$^{-1}$, and lead to having $10.7^{+18.8}_{-4.4}$ % of neutron stars born as magnetars. We also find a mean magnetic field at birth ($μ_b$ is in T) $\log\left(μ_b\right) = 10.2^{+0.1}_{-0.2}$, a magnetic field decay slope $α_d = 1.9 ^{+0.9}_{-1.3}$, and timescale $τ_d = 17.9^{+24.1}_{-14.5}$ kyr, in broad agreement with previous estimates. We conclude this study by exploring detection prospects: an all-sky survey with XMM-Newton would potentially allow to get around 7 periodic detections of magnetars, with approximately 150 magnetars exceeding XMM-Newton's flux threshold, and the upcoming AXIS experiment should allow to double these detections. |
| title | The Galactic population of magnetars : a simulation-based inference study |
| topic | High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.11875 |