A Bayesian Proportional Mean Model Using Panel Binary Data-An Application to Health and Retirement Study

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Main Authors: Hariharan, Pavithra, Sankaran, P. G.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Hariharan, Pavithra
Sankaran, P. G.
author_facet Hariharan, Pavithra
Sankaran, P. G.
contents In recurrent event studies, panel binary data arise when subjects are observed at discrete time points and only the recurrent event status within each observation window is recorded. Such data frequently occur in longitudinal studies due to recall difficulties or participants' privacy concerns during follow-ups, necessitating rigorous statistical analysis. While frequentist methods exist for handling such data, Bayesian approaches remain largely unexplored. This article proposes an efficient Bayesian proportional mean model for analysing recurrent events using panel binary data. In addition to the estimation procedure, the article introduces techniques for model validation, selection, and Bayesian influence diagnostics. Simulation studies demonstrate the method's effectiveness and robustness in different practical scenarios. The proposed approach is then applied to analyse the latest version of the Health and Retirement Study dataset, identifying key risk factors influencing doctor visits among the elderly. The analysis is therefore capable of providing valuable insights into healthcare utilisation patterns in ageing populations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_11994
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Bayesian Proportional Mean Model Using Panel Binary Data-An Application to Health and Retirement Study
Hariharan, Pavithra
Sankaran, P. G.
Methodology
Applications
In recurrent event studies, panel binary data arise when subjects are observed at discrete time points and only the recurrent event status within each observation window is recorded. Such data frequently occur in longitudinal studies due to recall difficulties or participants' privacy concerns during follow-ups, necessitating rigorous statistical analysis. While frequentist methods exist for handling such data, Bayesian approaches remain largely unexplored. This article proposes an efficient Bayesian proportional mean model for analysing recurrent events using panel binary data. In addition to the estimation procedure, the article introduces techniques for model validation, selection, and Bayesian influence diagnostics. Simulation studies demonstrate the method's effectiveness and robustness in different practical scenarios. The proposed approach is then applied to analyse the latest version of the Health and Retirement Study dataset, identifying key risk factors influencing doctor visits among the elderly. The analysis is therefore capable of providing valuable insights into healthcare utilisation patterns in ageing populations.
title A Bayesian Proportional Mean Model Using Panel Binary Data-An Application to Health and Retirement Study
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.11994