Crisis in time-dependent dynamical systems

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Olmi, Simona, Politi, Antonio
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Olmi, Simona
Politi, Antonio
author_facet Olmi, Simona
Politi, Antonio
contents Many dynamical systems operate in a fluctuating environment. However, even in low-dimensional setups, transitions and bifurcations have not yet been fully understood. In this Letter we focus on crises, a sudden flooding of the phase space due to the crossing of the boundary of the basin of attraction. We find that crises occur also in non-autonomous systems although the underlying mechanism is more complex. We show that in the vicinity of the transition, the escape probability scales as $\exp[-α(\ln δ)^2]$, where $δ$ is the distance from the critical point, while $α$ is a model-dependent parameter. This prediction is tested and verified in a few different systems, including the Kuramoto model with inertia, where the crisis controls the loss of stability of a chimera state.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_13152
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Crisis in time-dependent dynamical systems
Olmi, Simona
Politi, Antonio
Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Dynamical Systems
Chaotic Dynamics
Many dynamical systems operate in a fluctuating environment. However, even in low-dimensional setups, transitions and bifurcations have not yet been fully understood. In this Letter we focus on crises, a sudden flooding of the phase space due to the crossing of the boundary of the basin of attraction. We find that crises occur also in non-autonomous systems although the underlying mechanism is more complex. We show that in the vicinity of the transition, the escape probability scales as $\exp[-α(\ln δ)^2]$, where $δ$ is the distance from the critical point, while $α$ is a model-dependent parameter. This prediction is tested and verified in a few different systems, including the Kuramoto model with inertia, where the crisis controls the loss of stability of a chimera state.
title Crisis in time-dependent dynamical systems
topic Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems
Disordered Systems and Neural Networks
Dynamical Systems
Chaotic Dynamics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.13152