CNCast: Leveraging 3D Swin Transformer and DiT for Enhanced Regional Weather Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Liang, Hongli, Zhang, Yuanting, Meng, Qingye, He, Shuangshuang, Yuan, Xingyuan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Liang, Hongli
Zhang, Yuanting
Meng, Qingye
He, Shuangshuang
Yuan, Xingyuan
author_facet Liang, Hongli
Zhang, Yuanting
Meng, Qingye
He, Shuangshuang
Yuan, Xingyuan
contents This study introduces a cutting-edge regional weather forecasting model based on the SwinTransformer 3D architecture. This model is specifically designed to deliver precise hourly weather predictions ranging from 1 hour to 5 days, significantly improving the reliability and practicality of short-term weather forecasts. Our model has demonstrated generally superior performance when compared to Pangu, a well-established global model. The evaluation indicates that our model excels in predicting most weather variables, highlighting its potential as a more effective alternative in the field of limited area modeling. A noteworthy feature of this model is the integration of enhanced boundary conditions, inspired by traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) techniques. This integration has substantially improved the model's predictive accuracy. Additionally, the model includes an innovative approach for diagnosing hourly total precipitation at a high spatial resolution of approximately 5 kilometers. This is achieved through a latent diffusion model, offering an alternative method for generating high-resolution precipitation data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_13546
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle CNCast: Leveraging 3D Swin Transformer and DiT for Enhanced Regional Weather Forecasting
Liang, Hongli
Zhang, Yuanting
Meng, Qingye
He, Shuangshuang
Yuan, Xingyuan
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
This study introduces a cutting-edge regional weather forecasting model based on the SwinTransformer 3D architecture. This model is specifically designed to deliver precise hourly weather predictions ranging from 1 hour to 5 days, significantly improving the reliability and practicality of short-term weather forecasts. Our model has demonstrated generally superior performance when compared to Pangu, a well-established global model. The evaluation indicates that our model excels in predicting most weather variables, highlighting its potential as a more effective alternative in the field of limited area modeling. A noteworthy feature of this model is the integration of enhanced boundary conditions, inspired by traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) techniques. This integration has substantially improved the model's predictive accuracy. Additionally, the model includes an innovative approach for diagnosing hourly total precipitation at a high spatial resolution of approximately 5 kilometers. This is achieved through a latent diffusion model, offering an alternative method for generating high-resolution precipitation data.
title CNCast: Leveraging 3D Swin Transformer and DiT for Enhanced Regional Weather Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.13546