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Hauptverfasser: Nguyen, Viet The, Pham, Duy Anh, Le, An Thai, Peter, Jans, Gust, Gunther
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.14240
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author Nguyen, Viet The
Pham, Duy Anh
Le, An Thai
Peter, Jans
Gust, Gunther
author_facet Nguyen, Viet The
Pham, Duy Anh
Le, An Thai
Peter, Jans
Gust, Gunther
contents The effectiveness of Spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) in time-series applications is often limited by their dependence on fixed, hand-crafted input graph structures. Motivated by insights from the Topological Data Analysis (TDA) paradigm, of which real-world data exhibits multi-scale patterns, we construct several graphs using Persistent Homology Filtration -- a mathematical framework describing the multiscale structural properties of data points. Then, we use the constructed graphs as an input to create an ensemble of Graph Neural Networks. The ensemble aggregates the signals from the individual learners via an attention-based routing mechanism, thus systematically encoding the inherent multiscale structures of data. Four different real-world experiments on seismic activity prediction and traffic forecasting (PEMS-BAY, METR-LA) demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms single-graph baselines while providing interpretable insights.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_14240
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Persistent Homology-induced Graph Ensembles for Time Series Regressions
Nguyen, Viet The
Pham, Duy Anh
Le, An Thai
Peter, Jans
Gust, Gunther
Machine Learning
The effectiveness of Spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) in time-series applications is often limited by their dependence on fixed, hand-crafted input graph structures. Motivated by insights from the Topological Data Analysis (TDA) paradigm, of which real-world data exhibits multi-scale patterns, we construct several graphs using Persistent Homology Filtration -- a mathematical framework describing the multiscale structural properties of data points. Then, we use the constructed graphs as an input to create an ensemble of Graph Neural Networks. The ensemble aggregates the signals from the individual learners via an attention-based routing mechanism, thus systematically encoding the inherent multiscale structures of data. Four different real-world experiments on seismic activity prediction and traffic forecasting (PEMS-BAY, METR-LA) demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms single-graph baselines while providing interpretable insights.
title Persistent Homology-induced Graph Ensembles for Time Series Regressions
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.14240