Online Conformal Probabilistic Numerics via Adaptive Edge-Cloud Offloading

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Hou, Qiushuo, Park, Sangwoo, Zecchin, Matteo, Cai, Yunlong, Yu, Guanding, Simeone, Osvaldo
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Hou, Qiushuo
Park, Sangwoo
Zecchin, Matteo
Cai, Yunlong
Yu, Guanding
Simeone, Osvaldo
author_facet Hou, Qiushuo
Park, Sangwoo
Zecchin, Matteo
Cai, Yunlong
Yu, Guanding
Simeone, Osvaldo
contents Consider an edge computing setting in which a user submits queries for the solution of a linear system to an edge processor, which is subject to time-varying computing availability. The edge processor applies a probabilistic linear solver (PLS) so as to be able to respond to the user's query within the allotted time and computing budget. Feedback to the user is in the form of a set of plausible solutions. Due to model misspecification, the highest-probability-density (HPD) set obtained via a direct application of PLS does not come with coverage guarantees with respect to the true solution of the linear system. This work introduces a new method to calibrate the HPD sets produced by PLS with the aim of guaranteeing long-term coverage requirements. The proposed method, referred to as online conformal prediction-PLS (OCP-PLS), assumes sporadic feedback from cloud to edge. This enables the online calibration of uncertainty thresholds via online conformal prediction (OCP), an online optimization method previously studied in the context of prediction models. The validity of OCP-PLS is verified via experiments that bring insights into trade-offs between coverage, prediction set size, and cloud usage.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_14453
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Online Conformal Probabilistic Numerics via Adaptive Edge-Cloud Offloading
Hou, Qiushuo
Park, Sangwoo
Zecchin, Matteo
Cai, Yunlong
Yu, Guanding
Simeone, Osvaldo
Machine Learning
Consider an edge computing setting in which a user submits queries for the solution of a linear system to an edge processor, which is subject to time-varying computing availability. The edge processor applies a probabilistic linear solver (PLS) so as to be able to respond to the user's query within the allotted time and computing budget. Feedback to the user is in the form of a set of plausible solutions. Due to model misspecification, the highest-probability-density (HPD) set obtained via a direct application of PLS does not come with coverage guarantees with respect to the true solution of the linear system. This work introduces a new method to calibrate the HPD sets produced by PLS with the aim of guaranteeing long-term coverage requirements. The proposed method, referred to as online conformal prediction-PLS (OCP-PLS), assumes sporadic feedback from cloud to edge. This enables the online calibration of uncertainty thresholds via online conformal prediction (OCP), an online optimization method previously studied in the context of prediction models. The validity of OCP-PLS is verified via experiments that bring insights into trade-offs between coverage, prediction set size, and cloud usage.
title Online Conformal Probabilistic Numerics via Adaptive Edge-Cloud Offloading
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.14453