Testing Conditional Stochastic Dominance at Target Points

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Bugni, Federico A., Canay, Ivan A., Kim, Deborah
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Bugni, Federico A.
Canay, Ivan A.
Kim, Deborah
author_facet Bugni, Federico A.
Canay, Ivan A.
Kim, Deborah
contents This paper introduces a novel test for conditional stochastic dominance (CSD) at specific values of the conditioning covariates, referred to as target points. The test is relevant for analyzing income inequality, evaluating treatment effects, and studying discrimination. We propose a Kolmogorov--Smirnov-type test statistic that utilizes induced order statistics from independent samples. Notably, the test features a data-independent critical value, eliminating the need for resampling techniques such as the bootstrap. Our approach avoids kernel smoothing and parametric assumptions, instead relying on a tuning parameter to select relevant observations. We establish the asymptotic properties of our test, showing that the induced order statistics converge to independent draws from the true conditional distributions and that the test is asymptotically of level $α$ under weak regularity conditions. While our results apply to both continuous and discrete data, in the discrete case, the critical value only provides a valid upper bound. To address this, we propose a refined critical value that significantly enhances power, requiring only knowledge of the support size of the distributions. Additionally, we analyze the test's behavior in the limit experiment, demonstrating that it reduces to a problem analogous to testing unconditional stochastic dominance in finite samples. This framework allows us to prove the validity of permutation-based tests for stochastic dominance when the random variables are continuous. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the strong finite-sample performance of our method.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_14747
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Testing Conditional Stochastic Dominance at Target Points
Bugni, Federico A.
Canay, Ivan A.
Kim, Deborah
Econometrics
Statistics Theory
This paper introduces a novel test for conditional stochastic dominance (CSD) at specific values of the conditioning covariates, referred to as target points. The test is relevant for analyzing income inequality, evaluating treatment effects, and studying discrimination. We propose a Kolmogorov--Smirnov-type test statistic that utilizes induced order statistics from independent samples. Notably, the test features a data-independent critical value, eliminating the need for resampling techniques such as the bootstrap. Our approach avoids kernel smoothing and parametric assumptions, instead relying on a tuning parameter to select relevant observations. We establish the asymptotic properties of our test, showing that the induced order statistics converge to independent draws from the true conditional distributions and that the test is asymptotically of level $α$ under weak regularity conditions. While our results apply to both continuous and discrete data, in the discrete case, the critical value only provides a valid upper bound. To address this, we propose a refined critical value that significantly enhances power, requiring only knowledge of the support size of the distributions. Additionally, we analyze the test's behavior in the limit experiment, demonstrating that it reduces to a problem analogous to testing unconditional stochastic dominance in finite samples. This framework allows us to prove the validity of permutation-based tests for stochastic dominance when the random variables are continuous. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the strong finite-sample performance of our method.
title Testing Conditional Stochastic Dominance at Target Points
topic Econometrics
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.14747