A multi-model approach using XAI and anomaly detection to predict asteroid hazards

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Mondal, Amit Kumar, Aslam, Nafisha, Maji, Prasenjit, Mondal, Hemanta Kumar
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Mondal, Amit Kumar
Aslam, Nafisha
Maji, Prasenjit
Mondal, Hemanta Kumar
author_facet Mondal, Amit Kumar
Aslam, Nafisha
Maji, Prasenjit
Mondal, Hemanta Kumar
contents The potential for catastrophic collision makes near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) a serious concern. Planetary defense depends on accurately classifying potentially hazardous asteroids (PHAs), however the complexity of the data hampers conventional techniques. This work offers a sophisticated method for accurately predicting hazards by combining machine learning, deep learning, explainable AI (XAI), and anomaly detection. Our approach extracts essential parameters like size, velocity, and trajectory from historical and real-time asteroid data. A hybrid algorithm improves prediction accuracy by combining several cutting-edge models. A forecasting module predicts future asteroid behavior, and Monte Carlo simulations evaluate the likelihood of collisions. Timely mitigation is made possible by a real-time alarm system that notifies worldwide monitoring stations. This technique enhances planetary defense efforts by combining real-time alarms with sophisticated predictive modeling.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_15901
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A multi-model approach using XAI and anomaly detection to predict asteroid hazards
Mondal, Amit Kumar
Aslam, Nafisha
Maji, Prasenjit
Mondal, Hemanta Kumar
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
The potential for catastrophic collision makes near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) a serious concern. Planetary defense depends on accurately classifying potentially hazardous asteroids (PHAs), however the complexity of the data hampers conventional techniques. This work offers a sophisticated method for accurately predicting hazards by combining machine learning, deep learning, explainable AI (XAI), and anomaly detection. Our approach extracts essential parameters like size, velocity, and trajectory from historical and real-time asteroid data. A hybrid algorithm improves prediction accuracy by combining several cutting-edge models. A forecasting module predicts future asteroid behavior, and Monte Carlo simulations evaluate the likelihood of collisions. Timely mitigation is made possible by a real-time alarm system that notifies worldwide monitoring stations. This technique enhances planetary defense efforts by combining real-time alarms with sophisticated predictive modeling.
title A multi-model approach using XAI and anomaly detection to predict asteroid hazards
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.15901