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Main Authors: Calinescu, Radu, Yaman, Sinem Getir, Gerasimou, Simos, Vázquez, Gricel, Bassett, Micah
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.16034
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author Calinescu, Radu
Yaman, Sinem Getir
Gerasimou, Simos
Vázquez, Gricel
Bassett, Micah
author_facet Calinescu, Radu
Yaman, Sinem Getir
Gerasimou, Simos
Vázquez, Gricel
Bassett, Micah
contents Given its ability to analyse stochastic models ranging from discrete and continuous-time Markov chains to Markov decision processes and stochastic games, probabilistic model checking (PMC) is widely used to verify system dependability and performance properties. However, modelling the behaviour of, and verifying these properties for many software-intensive systems requires the joint analysis of multiple interdependent stochastic models of different types, which existing PMC techniques and tools cannot handle. To address this limitation, we introduce a tool-supported UniversaL stochasTIc Modelling, verificAtion and synThEsis (ULTIMATE) framework that supports the representation, verification and synthesis of heterogeneous multi-model stochastic systems with complex model interdependencies. Through its unique integration of multiple PMC paradigms, and underpinned by a novel verification method for handling model interdependencies, ULTIMATE unifies-for the first time-the modelling of probabilistic and nondeterministic uncertainty, discrete and continuous time, partial observability, and the use of both Bayesian and frequentist inference to exploit domain knowledge and data about the modelled system and its context. A comprehensive suite of case studies and experiments confirm the generality and effectiveness of our novel verification framework.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_16034
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Verification and External Parameter Inference for Stochastic World Models
Calinescu, Radu
Yaman, Sinem Getir
Gerasimou, Simos
Vázquez, Gricel
Bassett, Micah
Logic in Computer Science
Given its ability to analyse stochastic models ranging from discrete and continuous-time Markov chains to Markov decision processes and stochastic games, probabilistic model checking (PMC) is widely used to verify system dependability and performance properties. However, modelling the behaviour of, and verifying these properties for many software-intensive systems requires the joint analysis of multiple interdependent stochastic models of different types, which existing PMC techniques and tools cannot handle. To address this limitation, we introduce a tool-supported UniversaL stochasTIc Modelling, verificAtion and synThEsis (ULTIMATE) framework that supports the representation, verification and synthesis of heterogeneous multi-model stochastic systems with complex model interdependencies. Through its unique integration of multiple PMC paradigms, and underpinned by a novel verification method for handling model interdependencies, ULTIMATE unifies-for the first time-the modelling of probabilistic and nondeterministic uncertainty, discrete and continuous time, partial observability, and the use of both Bayesian and frequentist inference to exploit domain knowledge and data about the modelled system and its context. A comprehensive suite of case studies and experiments confirm the generality and effectiveness of our novel verification framework.
title Verification and External Parameter Inference for Stochastic World Models
topic Logic in Computer Science
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.16034