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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rein, David, Becker, Joel, Deng, Amy, Nix, Seraphina, Canal, Chris, O'Connel, Daniel, Arnott, Pip, Bloom, Ryan, Broadley, Thomas, Garcia, Katharyn, Goodrich, Brian, Hasin, Max, Jawhar, Sami, Kinniment, Megan, Kwa, Thomas, Lajko, Aron, Rush, Nate, Sato, Lucas Jun Koba, Von Arx, Sydney, West, Ben, Chan, Lawrence, Barnes, Elizabeth
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.17354
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author Rein, David
Becker, Joel
Deng, Amy
Nix, Seraphina
Canal, Chris
O'Connel, Daniel
Arnott, Pip
Bloom, Ryan
Broadley, Thomas
Garcia, Katharyn
Goodrich, Brian
Hasin, Max
Jawhar, Sami
Kinniment, Megan
Kwa, Thomas
Lajko, Aron
Rush, Nate
Sato, Lucas Jun Koba
Von Arx, Sydney
West, Ben
Chan, Lawrence
Barnes, Elizabeth
author_facet Rein, David
Becker, Joel
Deng, Amy
Nix, Seraphina
Canal, Chris
O'Connel, Daniel
Arnott, Pip
Bloom, Ryan
Broadley, Thomas
Garcia, Katharyn
Goodrich, Brian
Hasin, Max
Jawhar, Sami
Kinniment, Megan
Kwa, Thomas
Lajko, Aron
Rush, Nate
Sato, Lucas Jun Koba
Von Arx, Sydney
West, Ben
Chan, Lawrence
Barnes, Elizabeth
contents To understand and predict the societal impacts of highly autonomous AI systems, we need benchmarks with grounding, i.e., metrics that directly connect AI performance to real-world effects we care about. We present HCAST (Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks), a benchmark of 189 machine learning engineering, cybersecurity, software engineering, and general reasoning tasks. We collect 563 human baselines (totaling over 1500 hours) from people skilled in these domains, working under identical conditions as AI agents, which lets us estimate that HCAST tasks take humans between one minute and 8+ hours. Measuring the time tasks take for humans provides an intuitive metric for evaluating AI capabilities, helping answer the question "can an agent be trusted to complete a task that would take a human X hours?" We evaluate the success rates of AI agents built on frontier foundation models, and we find that current agents succeed 70-80% of the time on tasks that take humans less than one hour, and less than 20% of the time on tasks that take humans more than 4 hours.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_17354
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle HCAST: Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks
Rein, David
Becker, Joel
Deng, Amy
Nix, Seraphina
Canal, Chris
O'Connel, Daniel
Arnott, Pip
Bloom, Ryan
Broadley, Thomas
Garcia, Katharyn
Goodrich, Brian
Hasin, Max
Jawhar, Sami
Kinniment, Megan
Kwa, Thomas
Lajko, Aron
Rush, Nate
Sato, Lucas Jun Koba
Von Arx, Sydney
West, Ben
Chan, Lawrence
Barnes, Elizabeth
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.0
To understand and predict the societal impacts of highly autonomous AI systems, we need benchmarks with grounding, i.e., metrics that directly connect AI performance to real-world effects we care about. We present HCAST (Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks), a benchmark of 189 machine learning engineering, cybersecurity, software engineering, and general reasoning tasks. We collect 563 human baselines (totaling over 1500 hours) from people skilled in these domains, working under identical conditions as AI agents, which lets us estimate that HCAST tasks take humans between one minute and 8+ hours. Measuring the time tasks take for humans provides an intuitive metric for evaluating AI capabilities, helping answer the question "can an agent be trusted to complete a task that would take a human X hours?" We evaluate the success rates of AI agents built on frontier foundation models, and we find that current agents succeed 70-80% of the time on tasks that take humans less than one hour, and less than 20% of the time on tasks that take humans more than 4 hours.
title HCAST: Human-Calibrated Autonomy Software Tasks
topic Artificial Intelligence
I.2.0
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.17354