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Autori principali: de Oliveira, Ítalo Romani, Ayhan, Samet, Balvedi, Glaucia, Biglin, Michael, Costas, Pablo, Neto, Euclides C. Pinto, Leite, Alexandre, de Azevedo, Felipe C. F.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.17515
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author de Oliveira, Ítalo Romani
Ayhan, Samet
Balvedi, Glaucia
Biglin, Michael
Costas, Pablo
Neto, Euclides C. Pinto
Leite, Alexandre
de Azevedo, Felipe C. F.
author_facet de Oliveira, Ítalo Romani
Ayhan, Samet
Balvedi, Glaucia
Biglin, Michael
Costas, Pablo
Neto, Euclides C. Pinto
Leite, Alexandre
de Azevedo, Felipe C. F.
contents Predicting air traffic congestion and flow management is essential for airlines and Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSP) to enhance operational efficiency. Accurate estimates of future airport capacity and airspace density are vital for better airspace management, reducing air traffic controller workload and fuel consumption, ultimately promoting sustainable aviation. While existing literature has addressed these challenges, data management and query processing remain complex due to the vast volume of high-rate air traffic data. Many analytics use cases require a common pre-processing infrastructure, as ad-hoc approaches are insufficient. Additionally, linear prediction models often fall short, necessitating more advanced techniques. This paper presents a data processing and predictive services architecture that ingests large, uncorrelated, and noisy streaming data to forecast future airspace system states. The system continuously collects raw data, periodically compresses it, and stores it in NoSQL databases for efficient query processing. For prediction, the system learns from historical traffic by extracting key features such as airport arrival and departure events, sector boundary crossings, weather parameters, and other air traffic data. These features are input into various regression models, including linear, non-linear, and ensemble models, with the best-performing model selected for predictions. We evaluate this infrastructure across three prediction use cases in the US National Airspace System (NAS) and a segment of European airspace, using extensive real operations data, confirming that our system can predict future system states efficiently and accurately.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_17515
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Predictive Services Architecture for Efficient Airspace Operations
de Oliveira, Ítalo Romani
Ayhan, Samet
Balvedi, Glaucia
Biglin, Michael
Costas, Pablo
Neto, Euclides C. Pinto
Leite, Alexandre
de Azevedo, Felipe C. F.
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Databases
Systems and Control
Predicting air traffic congestion and flow management is essential for airlines and Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSP) to enhance operational efficiency. Accurate estimates of future airport capacity and airspace density are vital for better airspace management, reducing air traffic controller workload and fuel consumption, ultimately promoting sustainable aviation. While existing literature has addressed these challenges, data management and query processing remain complex due to the vast volume of high-rate air traffic data. Many analytics use cases require a common pre-processing infrastructure, as ad-hoc approaches are insufficient. Additionally, linear prediction models often fall short, necessitating more advanced techniques. This paper presents a data processing and predictive services architecture that ingests large, uncorrelated, and noisy streaming data to forecast future airspace system states. The system continuously collects raw data, periodically compresses it, and stores it in NoSQL databases for efficient query processing. For prediction, the system learns from historical traffic by extracting key features such as airport arrival and departure events, sector boundary crossings, weather parameters, and other air traffic data. These features are input into various regression models, including linear, non-linear, and ensemble models, with the best-performing model selected for predictions. We evaluate this infrastructure across three prediction use cases in the US National Airspace System (NAS) and a segment of European airspace, using extensive real operations data, confirming that our system can predict future system states efficiently and accurately.
title A Predictive Services Architecture for Efficient Airspace Operations
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Databases
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.17515