A Joint Model of Longitudinal CVD Risk Factors, Medication Use, and Time-to-Terminal Events

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Aghabazaz, Zeynab, Daniels, Michael J, Lloyd-Jones, Donald M, Siddique, Juned
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Aghabazaz, Zeynab
Daniels, Michael J
Lloyd-Jones, Donald M
Siddique, Juned
author_facet Aghabazaz, Zeynab
Daniels, Michael J
Lloyd-Jones, Donald M
Siddique, Juned
contents We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for jointly modeling longitudinal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor trajectories, medication use, and time-to-events. Our methodology incorporates longitudinal risk factor trajectories into the time-to-event model, considers the temporal aspect of medication use, incorporates uncertainty due to missing medication status and medication switching, and analyzes the impact of medications on CVD events. Our research aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the effect of CVD progression and medication use on time to death, enhancing predictive accuracy and informing personalized intervention strategies. Using data from a cardiovascular cohort study, we demonstrate the model's ability to capture detailed temporal dynamics and enhance predictive accuracy for CVD events.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_17576
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Joint Model of Longitudinal CVD Risk Factors, Medication Use, and Time-to-Terminal Events
Aghabazaz, Zeynab
Daniels, Michael J
Lloyd-Jones, Donald M
Siddique, Juned
Methodology
Applications
We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for jointly modeling longitudinal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor trajectories, medication use, and time-to-events. Our methodology incorporates longitudinal risk factor trajectories into the time-to-event model, considers the temporal aspect of medication use, incorporates uncertainty due to missing medication status and medication switching, and analyzes the impact of medications on CVD events. Our research aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the effect of CVD progression and medication use on time to death, enhancing predictive accuracy and informing personalized intervention strategies. Using data from a cardiovascular cohort study, we demonstrate the model's ability to capture detailed temporal dynamics and enhance predictive accuracy for CVD events.
title A Joint Model of Longitudinal CVD Risk Factors, Medication Use, and Time-to-Terminal Events
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.17576