Causal Inference based Transfer Learning with LLMs: An Efficient Framework for Industrial RUL Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Chen, Yan, Liu, Cheng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Chen, Yan
Liu, Cheng
author_facet Chen, Yan
Liu, Cheng
contents Accurate prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) for complex industrial machinery is critical for the reliability and maintenance of mechatronic systems, but it is challenged by high-dimensional, noisy sensor data. We propose the Causal-Informed Data Pruning Framework (CIDPF), which pioneers the use of causal inference to identify sensor signals with robust causal relationships to RUL through PCMCI-based stability analysis, while a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) screens for anomalies. By training on only 10% of the pruned data, CIDPF fine-tunes pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) using parameter-efficient strategies, reducing training time by 90% compared to traditional approaches. Experiments on the N-CMAPSS dataset demonstrate that CIDPF achieves a 26% lower RMSE than existing methods and a 25% improvement over full-data baselines, showcasing superior accuracy and computational efficiency in industrial mechatronic systems. The framework's adaptability to multi-condition scenarios further underscores its practicality for industrial deployment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_17686
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Causal Inference based Transfer Learning with LLMs: An Efficient Framework for Industrial RUL Prediction
Chen, Yan
Liu, Cheng
Signal Processing
Accurate prediction of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) for complex industrial machinery is critical for the reliability and maintenance of mechatronic systems, but it is challenged by high-dimensional, noisy sensor data. We propose the Causal-Informed Data Pruning Framework (CIDPF), which pioneers the use of causal inference to identify sensor signals with robust causal relationships to RUL through PCMCI-based stability analysis, while a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) screens for anomalies. By training on only 10% of the pruned data, CIDPF fine-tunes pre-trained Large Language Models (LLMs) using parameter-efficient strategies, reducing training time by 90% compared to traditional approaches. Experiments on the N-CMAPSS dataset demonstrate that CIDPF achieves a 26% lower RMSE than existing methods and a 25% improvement over full-data baselines, showcasing superior accuracy and computational efficiency in industrial mechatronic systems. The framework's adaptability to multi-condition scenarios further underscores its practicality for industrial deployment.
title Causal Inference based Transfer Learning with LLMs: An Efficient Framework for Industrial RUL Prediction
topic Signal Processing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.17686