Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2025
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.20249 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Table of Contents:
- Local projections (LPs) are widely used for impulse response analysis, but Bayesian methods face challenges due to the absence of a likelihood function. Existing approaches rely on pseudo-likelihoods, which often result in poorly calibrated posteriors. We propose a quasi-Bayesian method based on the Laplace-type estimator, where a quasi-likelihood is constructed using a generalized method of moments criterion. This approach avoids strict distributional assumptions, ensures well-calibrated inferences, and supports simultaneous credible bands. Additionally, it can be naturally extended to the instrumental variable method. We validate our approach through Monte Carlo simulations.