A Restricted Latent Class Hidden Markov Model for Polytomous Responses, Polytomous Attributes, and Covariates: Identifiability and Application

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Wayman, Eric Alan, Culpepper, Steven Andrew, Douglas, Jeff, Bowers, Jesse
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Wayman, Eric Alan
Culpepper, Steven Andrew
Douglas, Jeff
Bowers, Jesse
author_facet Wayman, Eric Alan
Culpepper, Steven Andrew
Douglas, Jeff
Bowers, Jesse
contents We introduce a restricted latent class exploratory model for longitudinal data with ordinal attributes and respondent-specific covariates. Responses follow a time inhomogeneous hidden Markov model where the probability of a respondent's latent state at the current time point is conditional on the respondent's latent state at the previous time point as well as the respondent's covariates at the current time point. We prove that the model is identifiable, state a Bayesian formulation, and demonstrate its efficacy in a variety of scenarios through two simulation studies. We apply the model to response data from a mathematics examination, comparing the results to a previously published confirmatory analysis, and also apply it to emotional state response data which was measured over a several-day period.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_20940
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Restricted Latent Class Hidden Markov Model for Polytomous Responses, Polytomous Attributes, and Covariates: Identifiability and Application
Wayman, Eric Alan
Culpepper, Steven Andrew
Douglas, Jeff
Bowers, Jesse
Methodology
We introduce a restricted latent class exploratory model for longitudinal data with ordinal attributes and respondent-specific covariates. Responses follow a time inhomogeneous hidden Markov model where the probability of a respondent's latent state at the current time point is conditional on the respondent's latent state at the previous time point as well as the respondent's covariates at the current time point. We prove that the model is identifiable, state a Bayesian formulation, and demonstrate its efficacy in a variety of scenarios through two simulation studies. We apply the model to response data from a mathematics examination, comparing the results to a previously published confirmatory analysis, and also apply it to emotional state response data which was measured over a several-day period.
title A Restricted Latent Class Hidden Markov Model for Polytomous Responses, Polytomous Attributes, and Covariates: Identifiability and Application
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.20940