Least Squares as Random Walks

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Kostinski, Alexander, Ierley, Glenn, Kostinski, Sarah
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Kostinski, Alexander
Ierley, Glenn
Kostinski, Sarah
author_facet Kostinski, Alexander
Ierley, Glenn
Kostinski, Sarah
contents Linear least squares (LLS) is perhaps the most common method of data analysis, dating back to Legendre, Gauss and Laplace. Framed as linear regression, LLS is also a backbone of mathematical statistics. Here we report on an unexpected new connection between LLS and random walks. To that end, we introduce the notion of a random walk based on a discrete sequence of data samples (data walk). We show that the slope of a straight line which annuls the net area under a residual data walk equals the one found by LLS. For equidistant data samples this result is exact and holds for an arbitrary distribution of steps.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_20965
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Least Squares as Random Walks
Kostinski, Alexander
Ierley, Glenn
Kostinski, Sarah
Methodology
Statistical Mechanics
Probability
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Applications
Linear least squares (LLS) is perhaps the most common method of data analysis, dating back to Legendre, Gauss and Laplace. Framed as linear regression, LLS is also a backbone of mathematical statistics. Here we report on an unexpected new connection between LLS and random walks. To that end, we introduce the notion of a random walk based on a discrete sequence of data samples (data walk). We show that the slope of a straight line which annuls the net area under a residual data walk equals the one found by LLS. For equidistant data samples this result is exact and holds for an arbitrary distribution of steps.
title Least Squares as Random Walks
topic Methodology
Statistical Mechanics
Probability
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.20965