Measuring and Analyzing Subjective Uncertainty in Scientific Communications

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Sourati, Jamshid, Shao, Grace
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Sourati, Jamshid
Shao, Grace
author_facet Sourati, Jamshid
Shao, Grace
contents Uncertainty of scientific findings are typically reported through statistical metrics such as $p$-values, confidence intervals, etc. The magnitude of this objective uncertainty is reflected in the language used by the authors to report their findings primarily through expressions carrying uncertainty-inducing terms or phrases. This language uncertainty is a subjective concept and is highly dependent on the writing style of the authors. There is evidence that such subjective uncertainty influences the impact of science on public audience. In this work, we turned our focus to scientists themselves, and measured/analyzed the subjective uncertainty and its impact within scientific communities across different disciplines. We showed that the level of this type of uncertainty varies significantly across different fields, years of publication and geographical locations. We also studied the correlation between subjective uncertainty and several bibliographical metrics, such as number/gender of authors, centrality of the field's community, citation count, etc. The underlying patterns identified in this work are useful in identification and documentation of linguistic norms in scientific communication in different communities/societies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_21114
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Measuring and Analyzing Subjective Uncertainty in Scientific Communications
Sourati, Jamshid
Shao, Grace
Digital Libraries
Computation and Language
Uncertainty of scientific findings are typically reported through statistical metrics such as $p$-values, confidence intervals, etc. The magnitude of this objective uncertainty is reflected in the language used by the authors to report their findings primarily through expressions carrying uncertainty-inducing terms or phrases. This language uncertainty is a subjective concept and is highly dependent on the writing style of the authors. There is evidence that such subjective uncertainty influences the impact of science on public audience. In this work, we turned our focus to scientists themselves, and measured/analyzed the subjective uncertainty and its impact within scientific communities across different disciplines. We showed that the level of this type of uncertainty varies significantly across different fields, years of publication and geographical locations. We also studied the correlation between subjective uncertainty and several bibliographical metrics, such as number/gender of authors, centrality of the field's community, citation count, etc. The underlying patterns identified in this work are useful in identification and documentation of linguistic norms in scientific communication in different communities/societies.
title Measuring and Analyzing Subjective Uncertainty in Scientific Communications
topic Digital Libraries
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.21114