From Occurrence to Consequence: A Comprehensive Data-driven Analysis of Building Fire Risk

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Ma, Chenzhi, Du, Hongru, Luan, Shengzhi, Dong, Ensheng, Gardner, Lauren M., Gernay, Thomas
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Ma, Chenzhi
Du, Hongru
Luan, Shengzhi
Dong, Ensheng
Gardner, Lauren M.
Gernay, Thomas
author_facet Ma, Chenzhi
Du, Hongru
Luan, Shengzhi
Dong, Ensheng
Gardner, Lauren M.
Gernay, Thomas
contents Building fires pose a persistent threat to life, property, and infrastructure, emphasizing the need for advanced risk mitigation strategies. This study presents a data-driven framework analyzing U.S. fire risks by integrating over one million fire incident reports with diverse fire-relevant datasets, including social determinants, building inventories, weather conditions, and incident-specific factors. By adapting machine learning models, we identify key risk factors influencing fire occurrence and consequences. Our findings show that vulnerable communities, characterized by socioeconomic disparities or the prevalence of outdated or vacant buildings, face higher fire risks. Incident-specific factors, such as fire origins and safety features, strongly influence fire consequences. Buildings equipped with fire detectors and automatic extinguishing systems experience significantly lower fire spread and injury risks. By pinpointing high-risk areas and populations, this research supports targeted interventions, including mandating fire safety systems and providing subsidies for disadvantaged communities. These measures can enhance fire prevention, protect vulnerable groups, and promote safer, more equitable communities.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_22689
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle From Occurrence to Consequence: A Comprehensive Data-driven Analysis of Building Fire Risk
Ma, Chenzhi
Du, Hongru
Luan, Shengzhi
Dong, Ensheng
Gardner, Lauren M.
Gernay, Thomas
Machine Learning
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Applications
Building fires pose a persistent threat to life, property, and infrastructure, emphasizing the need for advanced risk mitigation strategies. This study presents a data-driven framework analyzing U.S. fire risks by integrating over one million fire incident reports with diverse fire-relevant datasets, including social determinants, building inventories, weather conditions, and incident-specific factors. By adapting machine learning models, we identify key risk factors influencing fire occurrence and consequences. Our findings show that vulnerable communities, characterized by socioeconomic disparities or the prevalence of outdated or vacant buildings, face higher fire risks. Incident-specific factors, such as fire origins and safety features, strongly influence fire consequences. Buildings equipped with fire detectors and automatic extinguishing systems experience significantly lower fire spread and injury risks. By pinpointing high-risk areas and populations, this research supports targeted interventions, including mandating fire safety systems and providing subsidies for disadvantaged communities. These measures can enhance fire prevention, protect vulnerable groups, and promote safer, more equitable communities.
title From Occurrence to Consequence: A Comprehensive Data-driven Analysis of Building Fire Risk
topic Machine Learning
Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.22689