The geomagnetic storm and Kp prediction using Wasserstein transformer

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Li, Beibei
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Li, Beibei
author_facet Li, Beibei
contents The accurate forecasting of geomagnetic activity is important. In this work, we present a novel multimodal Transformer based framework for predicting the 3 days and 5 days planetary Kp index by integrating heterogeneous data sources, including satellite measurements, solar images, and KP time series. A key innovation is the incorporation of the Wasserstein distance into the transformer and the loss function to align the probability distributions across modalities. Comparative experiments with the NOAA model demonstrate performance, accurately capturing both the quiet and storm phases of geomagnetic activity. This study underscores the potential of integrating machine learning techniques with traditional models for improved real time forecasting.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_23102
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The geomagnetic storm and Kp prediction using Wasserstein transformer
Li, Beibei
Machine Learning
Image and Video Processing
Mathematical Physics
The accurate forecasting of geomagnetic activity is important. In this work, we present a novel multimodal Transformer based framework for predicting the 3 days and 5 days planetary Kp index by integrating heterogeneous data sources, including satellite measurements, solar images, and KP time series. A key innovation is the incorporation of the Wasserstein distance into the transformer and the loss function to align the probability distributions across modalities. Comparative experiments with the NOAA model demonstrate performance, accurately capturing both the quiet and storm phases of geomagnetic activity. This study underscores the potential of integrating machine learning techniques with traditional models for improved real time forecasting.
title The geomagnetic storm and Kp prediction using Wasserstein transformer
topic Machine Learning
Image and Video Processing
Mathematical Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.23102