Towards Interpretable Counterfactual Generation via Multimodal Autoregression

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Ma, Chenglong, Ji, Yuanfeng, Ye, Jin, Zhang, Lu, Chen, Ying, Li, Tianbin, Li, Mingjie, He, Junjun, Shan, Hongming
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Ma, Chenglong
Ji, Yuanfeng
Ye, Jin
Zhang, Lu
Chen, Ying
Li, Tianbin
Li, Mingjie
He, Junjun
Shan, Hongming
author_facet Ma, Chenglong
Ji, Yuanfeng
Ye, Jin
Zhang, Lu
Chen, Ying
Li, Tianbin
Li, Mingjie
He, Junjun
Shan, Hongming
contents Counterfactual medical image generation enables clinicians to explore clinical hypotheses, such as predicting disease progression, facilitating their decision-making. While existing methods can generate visually plausible images from disease progression prompts, they produce silent predictions that lack interpretation to verify how the generation reflects the hypothesized progression -- a critical gap for medical applications that require traceable reasoning. In this paper, we propose Interpretable Counterfactual Generation (ICG), a novel task requiring the joint generation of counterfactual images that reflect the clinical hypothesis and interpretation texts that outline the visual changes induced by the hypothesis. To enable ICG, we present ICG-CXR, the first dataset pairing longitudinal medical images with hypothetical progression prompts and textual interpretations. We further introduce ProgEmu, an autoregressive model that unifies the generation of counterfactual images and textual interpretations. We demonstrate the superiority of ProgEmu in generating progression-aligned counterfactuals and interpretations, showing significant potential in enhancing clinical decision support and medical education. Project page: https://progemu.github.io.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_23149
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Towards Interpretable Counterfactual Generation via Multimodal Autoregression
Ma, Chenglong
Ji, Yuanfeng
Ye, Jin
Zhang, Lu
Chen, Ying
Li, Tianbin
Li, Mingjie
He, Junjun
Shan, Hongming
Image and Video Processing
Counterfactual medical image generation enables clinicians to explore clinical hypotheses, such as predicting disease progression, facilitating their decision-making. While existing methods can generate visually plausible images from disease progression prompts, they produce silent predictions that lack interpretation to verify how the generation reflects the hypothesized progression -- a critical gap for medical applications that require traceable reasoning. In this paper, we propose Interpretable Counterfactual Generation (ICG), a novel task requiring the joint generation of counterfactual images that reflect the clinical hypothesis and interpretation texts that outline the visual changes induced by the hypothesis. To enable ICG, we present ICG-CXR, the first dataset pairing longitudinal medical images with hypothetical progression prompts and textual interpretations. We further introduce ProgEmu, an autoregressive model that unifies the generation of counterfactual images and textual interpretations. We demonstrate the superiority of ProgEmu in generating progression-aligned counterfactuals and interpretations, showing significant potential in enhancing clinical decision support and medical education. Project page: https://progemu.github.io.
title Towards Interpretable Counterfactual Generation via Multimodal Autoregression
topic Image and Video Processing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.23149