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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gauthier, Daniel J., Pomerance, Andrew, Bollt, Erik
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.23457
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author Gauthier, Daniel J.
Pomerance, Andrew
Bollt, Erik
author_facet Gauthier, Daniel J.
Pomerance, Andrew
Bollt, Erik
contents We extend an advanced variation of a machine learning algorithm, next-generation reservoir Computing (NGRC), to forecast the dynamics of the Ikeda map of a chaotic laser. The machine learning model is created by observing time-series data generated by the Ikeda map, and the trained model is used to forecast the behavior without any input from the map. The Ikeda map is a particularly challenging problem to learn because of the complicated map functions. We overcome the challenge by a novel improvement of the NGRC concept by emphasizing simpler polynomial models localized to well-designed regions of phase space and then blending these models between regions, a method that we call locality blended next-generation reservoir computing (LB-NGRC). This approach allows for better performance with relatively smaller data sets, and gives a new level of interpretability. We achieve forecasting horizons exceeding five Lyapunov times, and we demonstrate that the `climate' of the model is learned over long times.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2503_23457
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Locality Blended Next Generation Reservoir Computing For Attention Accuracy
Gauthier, Daniel J.
Pomerance, Andrew
Bollt, Erik
Chaotic Dynamics
We extend an advanced variation of a machine learning algorithm, next-generation reservoir Computing (NGRC), to forecast the dynamics of the Ikeda map of a chaotic laser. The machine learning model is created by observing time-series data generated by the Ikeda map, and the trained model is used to forecast the behavior without any input from the map. The Ikeda map is a particularly challenging problem to learn because of the complicated map functions. We overcome the challenge by a novel improvement of the NGRC concept by emphasizing simpler polynomial models localized to well-designed regions of phase space and then blending these models between regions, a method that we call locality blended next-generation reservoir computing (LB-NGRC). This approach allows for better performance with relatively smaller data sets, and gives a new level of interpretability. We achieve forecasting horizons exceeding five Lyapunov times, and we demonstrate that the `climate' of the model is learned over long times.
title Locality Blended Next Generation Reservoir Computing For Attention Accuracy
topic Chaotic Dynamics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.23457